rivomarkets

scruple

+$43
Tracked Trades
154
First Seen
Feb 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 23, 2026
Followers
1
Best In US elections
88% won · 16 settled · +$136

scruple is a Kalshi trader with 154 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $43 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? on Sep 23.

Win rate
78%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$21.9K
Typical trade
$17
Copy score
58/100
Kalshi rank
#3,454

Profit over time

+$90-$94
Feb 19Aug 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢588%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢936%
40 to 60¢2556%100%+44 pts
60 to 80¢1169%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢5188%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $339100%+$2
$3 to $1739100%+$27
$19 to $883860%-$17
$89 to $6.4K38100%+$30

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections11088%+$136
US politics24+$0
Baseball18+$0
Olympics20%-$94

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied scruple

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$600
Profit
on $1300 staked
11-2
Record
85% win rate
+46%
Return
90 still open
Profit over time13 settled trades
+$800+$0
Jul 6Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 13 so far.

By category

other13 settled+46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

13 open positions worth $4.7K

The markets scruple is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what scruple is holding

Recent positions

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Sep 23, 3 fills, avg 93¢
SELLNO$5.5KOpen
Who will win the next presidential election?
Sep 23, avg 80¢
SELLNO$478Open
Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Sep 23, avg 56¢
SELLNO$269Open
See every position across 17 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026?
    $196 on Yes, Jul 8
    +$141
  2. 2
    Will Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?
    $147 on Yes, Mar 4
    +$42
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?31+$0
Will Haley Stevens be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?30%-$47
Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?16+$0
Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?13+$0
Will drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 10, 2026?21+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 26Sep 23

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$94
Mar 2026+$42
Jul 2026+$141
Aug 2026-$47

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