rivomarkets

bull.nerve

-$3.3K
Tracked Trades
571
First Seen
Jan 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 23, 2026
Followers
3

bull.nerve is a Kalshi trader with 571 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 80 losses on settled markets, -$3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Who will win the governorship in California? on Sep 23.

Win rate
10%
Return on settled
-45%
Money traded
$45.6K
Typical trade
$12
Copy score
30/100
Kalshi rank
#2,074

Profit over time

+$0-$5.3K
Jan 19Sep 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12313%13%+0 pts
20 to 40¢22829%9%-20 pts
40 to 60¢18147%13%-35 pts
60 to 80¢2964%
Over 80¢1095%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $31430%-$12
$3 to $121438%-$100
$12 to $581435%-$59
$58 to $7.2K14221%-$3.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics1210%-$475
Mentions2130%-$1.2K
US elections300%-$1.2K
US politics720%-$2.4K
Tech and AI61+$0
Economic data12+$0

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied bull.nerve

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$692
Profit
on $600 staked
4-2
Record
67% win rate
+115%
Return
153 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$692-$200
Jun 29Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

By category

sports6 settled+115%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

20 open positions worth $5.9K

The markets bull.nerve is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bull.nerve is holding

Recent positions

Who will win the governorship in California?
Sep 23, 2 fills, avg 4¢
BUYYES$187Open
What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?
Sep 11, avg 1¢
SELLYES$3Open
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?
Sep 9, 4 fills, avg 43¢
BUYNO$192Open
See every position across 55 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $286 on Yes, Jun 4
    +$637
  2. 2
    Ben Shelton wins
    $190 on Yes, Sep 9
    +$635
  3. 3
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $47 on Yes, Jul 1
    +$458
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-03-01T15:00:00.000Z?28+$0
Will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public before Jun 2026?61+$0
What will Donald Trump say during Address to the Nation?520%-$1.2K
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?5+$0
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump80%-$2.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 26Sep 23

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$1.4K
Feb 2026-$956
Apr 2026-$1.7K
May 2026-$792
Jun 2026+$724
Jul 2026+$75
Sep 2026+$806

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