rivomarkets
Kalshi

Will.thrill

will.thrill

-$3.3K
Tracked Trades
1,035
First Seen
Mar 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 27, 2026
Followers
1
Best In NFL
40% won · 15 settled · +$1.9K

Will.thrill is a Kalshi trader with 1,035 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 116 losses on settled markets, -$3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions on Sep 27.

Win rate
31%
Return on settled
-8%
Money traded
$180.2K
Typical trade
$92
Copy score
12/100
Kalshi rank
#4,262

Profit over time

+$410-$8.2K
Mar 19Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19411%21%+10 pts
20 to 40¢21231%40%+9 pts
40 to 60¢54548%39%-9 pts
60 to 80¢6163%19%-45 pts
Over 80¢2386%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1725910%-$129
$17 to $9225933%-$221
$93 to $25225940%+$4.6K
$253 to $2.7K25834%-$7.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays19416%+$1.5K
Soccer19950%+$980
Baseball24463%+$206
Hockey1046%-$4.3K
NBA9679%-$761
WNBA120+$0

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied Will.thrill

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1724
Profit
on $5900 staked
12-47
Record
20% win rate
+29%
Return
289 still open
Profit over time59 settled trades
+$2.1K-$1.3K
Jun 29Sep 21
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
1322% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.37×
Profit factor
$6.4K won vs $4.7K lost
-8.5 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
24 trades

By category

other58 settled+28%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

130 open positions worth $43.0K

The markets Will.thrill is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Will.thrill is holding

Recent positions

no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Sep 27, avg 94¢
SELLNO$2.7KOpen
yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Justin Jefferson: 1+
Sep 27, 2 fills, avg 16¢
BUYYES$469-$469
yes Quinshon Judkins: 1+,yes Tee Higgins: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
Sep 27, avg 2¢
BUYYES$93-$93
See every position across 502 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $93 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$2.9K
  2. 2
    yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 169.5 points scored
    $708 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$2.9K
  3. 3
    yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $283 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$1.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 169.5 points scored30%-$958
Will both teams score?1283%+$1.7K
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score11+$0
Over 1.5 1H goals scored?25+$0
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?7100%+$452

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 30Sep 27

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$1.1K
Apr 2026-$5.8K
May 2026+$2.1K
Jun 2026+$1.1K
Jul 2026-$368
Aug 2026-$2.0K
Sep 2026+$2.8K

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