cmedian
+$2.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 943
- First Seen
- Aug 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 25, 2026
- Followers
- 36
- Best In Bitcoin
- 34% won · 575 settled · +$2.1K
cmedian is a Kalshi trader with 943 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 216 wins and 430 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 25.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $52.7K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Copy score
- 30/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,724
Profit over time
+$4.2K+$0
Aug 27Sep 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3757%9%+2 pts
20 to 40¢18128%35%+7 pts
40 to 60¢18949%57%+8 pts
60 to 80¢6969%83%+14 pts
Over 80¢12995%71%-25 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $123630%-$14
$1 to $923619%-$134
$9 to $3523639%+$45
$35 to $5.9K23547%+$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin79434%+$2.1K
Baseball8030%+$151
Parlays6925%+$41
Side taken
Yes 42%58% No
If you had copied cmedian
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1432
Profit
on $64600 staked
216-430
Record
33% win rate
-2%
Return
78 still open
+$0-$5.5K
Aug 24Sep 21
-$12.1K
Max drawdown
250% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.97×
Profit factor
$41.6K won vs $43.0K lost
+2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 80
- Deepest drawdown
- 286 trades
By category
other642 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
52 open positions worth $1.9K
The markets cmedian is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 25, avg 73¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 25, 4 fills, avg 42¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 25, 26 fills, avg 31¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$563 on No, Sep 22
- 2+$1.7KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$688 on No, Sep 3
- 3+$1.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$880 on No, Sep 22
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?79434%+$2.1K
KXMLBSPREAD-26AUG271415BALSTL-STL21100%+$108
KXMLBF5SPREAD-26AUG271415BALSTL-STL31100%+$100
Los Angeles D wins560%+$346
Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs?2100%+$131
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 28Sep 25
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$172
Sep 2026+$2.1K
Similar Kalshi traders
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