condemned.alpaca1909
+$49
- Tracked Trades
- 262
- First Seen
- Apr 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In NFL
- 100% won · 18 settled · +$576
condemned.alpaca1909 is a Kalshi trader with 262 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 9 losses on settled markets, $49 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP27LVNO-NO21 on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 87%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $38.1K
- Typical trade
- $36
- Copy score
- 77/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,437
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$851
Apr 15Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢237%
40 to 60¢1254%100%+46 pts
60 to 80¢1874%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢23086%82%-4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $266100%+$0
$2 to $376688%+$162
$37 to $1646590%+$191
$168 to $1.8K6582%-$304
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA3520%-$1.5K
Baseball118100%+$437
College football4383%-$8
NFL28100%+$576
Soccer12100%+$430
Tennis17100%+$69
Side taken
Yes 26%74% No
If you had copied condemned.alpaca1909
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$858
Profit
on $4700 staked
42-5
Record
89% win rate
+18%
Return
144 still open
+$858-$393
Jun 29Sep 21
-$500
Max drawdown
1462% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.72×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $500 lost
+7.9 pts
Edge vs implied
89% won at 81¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 5 trades
By category
other46 settled+18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
23 open positions worth $13.1K
The markets condemned.alpaca1909 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP27LVNO-NO21
Sep 27, avg 90¢
KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP27HOUIND-58
Sep 27, avg 87¢
USC wins by over 13.5 points
Sep 26, 2 fills, avg 89¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$437Miami vs Los Angeles D Winner?$1.2K on Yes, Apr 28
- 2+$433Game 5: Minnesota at Denver Winner?$1.8K on Yes, Apr 27
- 3+$315Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid$1.7K on Yes, Apr 15
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Los Angeles L wins by over 10.5 points?140%-$1.9K
Fresno St. wins11100%+$167
Game 5: Minnesota at Denver Winner?1100%+$433
Detroit wins by over 11.5 points?4+$0
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid5100%+$315
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Apr 2026+$1.2K
May 2026-$1.8K
Jun 2026+$69
Aug 2026-$231
Sep 2026+$800
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