uglyguy
+$50
- Tracked Trades
- 1,404
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 26, 2026
- Followers
- 36
- Best In Esports
- 86% won · 29 settled · +$344
uglyguy is a Kalshi trader with 1,404 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 27 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $50 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: NRG wins on Sep 26.
- Win rate
- 77%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $199.0K
- Typical trade
- $32
- Copy score
- 62/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,435
Profit over time
+$82-$226
Jun 21Sep 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3013%
20 to 40¢19031%83%+52 pts
40 to 60¢61051%70%+19 pts
60 to 80¢52667%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢4889%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $935179%+$60
$9 to $3235167%-$1
$32 to $97351100%+$171
$97 to $3.4K35150%-$180
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Esports90186%+$344
Cricket29467%+$15
Tennis136+$0
Soccer350%-$308
MMA38+$0
Side taken
Yes 97%3% No
If you had copied uglyguy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2000
Profit
on $3300 staked
26-7
Record
79% win rate
+61%
Return
2 still open
+$2.0K+$0
Jun 29Sep 21
-$300
Max drawdown
120% below peak
6.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.86×
Profit factor
$2.7K won vs $700 lost
+25.5 pts
Edge vs implied
79% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 3 trades
By category
other33 settled+61%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $60
The markets uglyguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
NRG wins
Sep 26, avg 70¢
NRG wins
Sep 26, 5 fills, avg 70¢
Inner Circle Esports wins
Sep 22, 25 fills, avg 58¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$132Will Team WaR win the Team WaR vs. Team Heretics match?$329 on No, Aug 7
- 2+$90Will T1 win the T1 vs. DN Freecs League of Legends match?$78 on No, Aug 17
- 3+$75Will NRG win the NRG vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match?$55 on No, Jul 12
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
England vs India Winner?102100%+$10
Vitality wins40+$0
Legacy wins27+$0
Will B8 Esports win the Alliance vs. B8 Esports CS2 match?45+$0
FURIA wins8+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 29Sep 26
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$3
Jul 2026+$85
Aug 2026-$98
Sep 2026+$66
Similar Kalshi traders
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