fair.trout3418
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 787
- First Seen
- Jun 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In Soccer
- 56% won · 39 settled · +$1.1K
fair.trout3418 is a Kalshi trader with 787 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 29 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Sweden wins on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 50%
- Return on settled
- +19%
- Money traded
- $40.6K
- Typical trade
- $16
- Copy score
- 26/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,347
Profit over time
+$1.5K+$0
Jun 21Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1868%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢16631%55%+24 pts
40 to 60¢14050%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢15869%64%-4 pts
Over 80¢13792%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $619729%-$12
$6 to $1619730%-$2
$16 to $4719753%+$122
$47 to $1.9K19662%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer28256%+$1.1K
Parlays13855%+$132
Bitcoin24525%-$23
Golf360%-$14
Solana11+$0
Other crypto30+$0
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied fair.trout3418
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1334
Profit
on $4300 staked
17-26
Record
40% win rate
-31%
Return
137 still open
+$0-$1.3K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
3708% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.49×
Profit factor
$1.3K won vs $2.6K lost
-7.8 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 42 trades
By category
other43 settled-31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
112 open positions worth $11.2K
The markets fair.trout3418 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Sweden wins
Sep 28, avg 1¢
France wins
Sep 28, avg 76¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 28, avg 93¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$609Spain vs Belgium: To Advance$1.8K on Yes, Jul 10
- 2+$556Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?$777 on Yes, Jul 16
- 3+$301Spain wins$290 on Yes, Sep 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?24325%-$23
Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance3+$0
yes Morocco advances,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: USA wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Goal Diff Reg Time: Netherlands wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored2+$0
Spain vs Belgium: To Advance2100%+$609
Will both teams score?4+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$406
Jul 2026+$555
Sep 2026+$238
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