fly.guy
+$3.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 943
- First Seen
- Jun 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In NFL
- 26% won · 23 settled · +$5.3K
fly.guy is a Kalshi trader with 943 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 82 wins and 255 losses on settled markets, $3.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $37.6K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Copy score
- 21/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,295
Profit over time
+$3.8K-$931
Jun 14Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4005%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢17429%20%-9 pts
40 to 60¢15649%65%+15 pts
60 to 80¢10070%21%-48 pts
Over 80¢11390%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $123616%+$54
$1 to $523618%+$98
$5 to $2323622%-$335
$24 to $5.2K23543%+$3.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin84123%-$2.4K
NFL2726%+$5.3K
College football3538%+$632
XRP34+$0
US politics4+$0
Ethereum1+$0
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied fly.guy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$22533
Profit
on $26600 staked
68-198
Record
26% win rate
+85%
Return
80 still open
+$26.8K-$1.3K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$9.4K
Max drawdown
29% below peak
2.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.14×
Profit factor
$42.3K won vs $19.8K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 39
- Deepest drawdown
- 162 trades
By category
other262 settled+85%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
29 open positions worth $568
The markets fly.guy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 92¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 94¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, 9 fills, avg 1¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.0KDenver wins$1.3K on Yes, Sep 28
- 2+$658BTC price up in next 15 mins?$491 on Yes, Sep 28
- 3+$533Will Michigan win the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game?$287 on Yes, Sep 12
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?84023%-$2.4K
Denver wins3100%+$5.2K
Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins?2100%+$352
Oklahoma St. wins15100%+$283
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: Atlanta wins?50%-$404
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$800
Aug 2026-$3
Sep 2026+$4.4K
Similar Kalshi traders
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