rivomarkets
Kalshi

heavy.wagtail9461

+$25
Tracked Trades
41
First Seen
Sep 1, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
2

heavy.wagtail9461 is a Kalshi trader with 41 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $25 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Alabama,yes Texas St.,yes Texas A&M wins by over 13.5 points,yes Notre Dame wins by over 13.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 20.5 points on Sep 29.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
+32%
Money traded
$301
Typical trade
$5
Copy score
4/100
Kalshi rank
#3,491

Profit over time

+$31-$60
Sep 1Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢268%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢634%0%-34 pts
40 to 60¢353%67%+13 pts
60 to 80¢264%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $11020%-$2
$1 to $590%-$20
$5 to $590%-$14
$9 to $85925%+$63

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1814%+$59
NFL40%-$22
Tennis110%-$10
Currencies10%-$1
Baseball367%-$0

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied heavy.wagtail9461

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1506
Profit
on $2600 staked
3-23
Record
12% win rate
-58%
Return
9 still open
Profit over time26 settled trades
+$0-$1.7K
Aug 31Sep 28
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.35×
Profit factor
$794 won vs $2.3K lost
-9.2 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 21¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
23 trades

By category

sports25 settled-56%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $70

The markets heavy.wagtail9461 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what heavy.wagtail9461 is holding

Recent positions

yes Alabama,yes Texas St.,yes Texas A&M wins by over 13.5 points,yes Notre Dame wins by over 13.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 20.5 points
Sep 29, avg 12¢
BUYYES$24Open
yes Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 11.5 runs scored
Sep 29, avg 0¢
BUYYES$2-$2
yes Atlanta,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Over 0.5 runs,yes Over 0.5 runs,yes Over 0.5 runs,yes Over 0.5 runs
Sep 29, avg 0¢
BUYYES$9Open
See every position across 26 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes DeVonta Smith: 60+,yes D'Andre Swift: 50+,yes Jalen Hurts: 20+,yes Saquon Barkley: 60+
    $14 on Yes, Sep 28
    +$91
  2. 2
    Cleveland wins
    $0 on Yes, Sep 16
    +$0
  3. 3
    Cleveland wins
    $0 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$0
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Brock Purdy: 20+,yes George Kittle: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+2+$0
yes Josh Downs: 50+,yes Brock Purdy: 20+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 90+,yes George Kittle: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+2+$0
yes Alabama,yes Texas St.,yes Texas A&M wins by over 13.5 points,yes Notre Dame wins by over 13.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 20.5 points1+$0
yes DeVonta Smith: 60+,yes D'Andre Swift: 50+,yes Jalen Hurts: 20+,yes Saquon Barkley: 60+1100%+$91
Detroit wins10%-$10

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$26

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