hotfax
+$24
- Tracked Trades
- 195
- First Seen
- Feb 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Followers
- 9
- Best In NBA
- 61% won · 28 settled · +$17
hotfax is a Kalshi trader with 195 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 19 wins and 42 losses on settled markets, $24 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Northern Arizona wins on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $3.9K
- Typical trade
- $3
- Copy score
- 2/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,499
Profit over time
+$24-$98
Feb 10Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢619%4%-5 pts
20 to 40¢3328%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢3748%57%+9 pts
60 to 80¢2370%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢4190%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $14913%-$7
$1 to $34938%+$8
$3 to $94954%+$13
$9 to $1.2K4836%+$9
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football350%+$94
College basketball935%-$17
NBA7461%+$17
WNBA2+$0
Baseball60%-$10
Soccer30%-$29
Side taken
Yes 68%32% No
If you had copied hotfax
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$890
Profit
on $1000 staked
1-9
Record
10% win rate
-89%
Return
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.
By category
other10 settled-89%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Northern Arizona wins
Sep 27, avg 91¢
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP26NAUMTST-MTST
Sep 27, avg 91¢
XRP price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 26, 5 fills, avg 5¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$122KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP26NAUMTST-MTST$1.2K on Yes, Sep 27
- 2+$22Orlando at Los Angeles C Winner?$15 on Yes, Feb 23
- 3+$9Golden State at Utah Winner?$4 on Yes, Mar 9
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP26NAUMTST-MTST1100%+$122
Northern Arizona wins1+$0
New York vs Chicago winner?2+$0
Houston at Utah Winner?7+$0
San Francisco vs Atlanta Winner?4+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$28
Mar 2026-$1
Sep 2026+$53
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