rivomarkets

lively13

+$1.7K
Tracked Trades
723
First Seen
Jul 6, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
9
Best In Parlays
10% won · 90 settled · +$2.7K

lively13 is a Kalshi trader with 723 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 52 wins and 204 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Target Price: $758.60,yes Target Price: $83,027.21,no Target Price: $0.0930549,yes Target Price: $2,663.82,yes Target Price: $86.8798,no Target Price: $4.6418,no Target Price: $117.7260,no Target Price: $1.4875,yes Target Price: $1,377.9122 on Sep 29.

Win rate
20%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$66.2K
Typical trade
$23
Copy score
16/100
Kalshi rank
#2,037

Profit over time

+$3.1K-$1.9K
Jul 6Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4345%6%+1 pts
20 to 40¢11629%22%-7 pts
40 to 60¢10448%49%+1 pts
60 to 80¢3767%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢2193%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $717817%-$40
$7 to $2317820%-$60
$23 to $7217827%+$706
$73 to $4.7K17824%+$1.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays41211%+$3.0K
Bitcoin25528%+$488
Baseball1513%+$235
Tennis520%-$1.4K
NFL4+$0
Soccer10%-$194

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied lively13

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$304
Profit
on $24900 staked
52-197
Record
21% win rate
+1%
Return
352 still open
Profit over time249 settled trades
+$2.8K-$4.3K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$6.0K
Max drawdown
512% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$20.0K won vs $19.7K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 22¢ avg
Longest losing streak
23
Deepest drawdown
146 trades

By category

other206 settled+11%
sports23 settled-28%
crypto20 settled-68%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

301 open positions worth $22.0K

The markets lively13 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lively13 is holding

Recent positions

yes Target Price: $758.60,yes Target Price: $83,027.21,no Target Price: $0.0930549,yes Target Price: $2,663.82,yes Target Price: $86.8798,no Target Price: $4.6418,no Target Price: $117.7260,no Target Price: $1.4875,yes Target Price: $1,377.9122
Sep 29, avg 39¢
BUYYES$0-$0
no Target Price: $759.59,no Target Price: $83,168.77,yes Target Price: $0.0932298,no Target Price: $2,666.84,yes Target Price: $86.6784,yes Target Price: $4.6575,no Target Price: $117.8363,yes Target Price: $1.4881,no Target Price: $1,381.0088
Sep 29, avg 8¢
BUYYES$94-$94
yes Marat Sharipov,yes Terence Atmane,yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Michael Zheng,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Jaime Faria,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 17¢
BUYYES$196-$196
See every position across 450 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Matisse Bobichon,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Borna Gojo,yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Bernard Tomic
    $188 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$2.7K
  2. 2
    yes Florida,yes Oregon,yes Utah,no Texas wins by over 5.5 points
    $368 on Yes, Sep 26
    +$2.1K
  3. 3
    yes Max Basing,yes Enrico Dalla Valle,yes Mika Brunold,yes Ji Sung Nam,yes Genaro Alberto Olivieri,yes Ilya Ivashka
    $37 on Yes, Sep 10
    +$1.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points450%-$572
BTC price up in next 15 mins?25528%+$488
yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Rinko Matsuda,yes Sijia Wei,yes Darya Astakhova,yes Peyton Stearns1+$0
yes Arizona,yes Dallas,yes Green Bay,yes Las Vegas,yes Washington30%-$51
yes Tampa Bay,yes Philadelphia,yes Los Angeles D2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$194
Aug 2026+$13
Sep 2026+$2.3K

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