steak.watch
+$1.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,972
- First Seen
- Mar 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 26, 2026
- Followers
- 21
- Best In Bitcoin
- 74% won · 232 settled · +$2.1K
steak.watch is a Kalshi trader with 1,972 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 336 wins and 209 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 26.
- Win rate
- 62%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $215.8K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Copy score
- 58/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,040
Profit over time
+$7.5K-$1.7K
Mar 20Sep 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢48210%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢37129%42%+13 pts
40 to 60¢68047%63%+17 pts
60 to 80¢19770%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢24291%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $249348%+$9
$2 to $949358%+$13
$9 to $4849368%+$573
$48 to $4.6K49370%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities87458%+$822
Bitcoin89074%+$2.1K
College football8352%-$251
Ethereum1118%-$868
Basketball6+$0
College basketball40%-$119
Side taken
Yes 49%51% No
If you had copied steak.watch
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2721
Profit
on $54200 staked
336-206
Record
62% win rate
+5%
Return
98 still open
+$2.7K-$481
Aug 31Sep 21
-$7.3K
Max drawdown
1457% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.13×
Profit factor
$23.3K won vs $20.6K lost
+7.4 pts
Edge vs implied
62% won at 55¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 28
- Deepest drawdown
- 308 trades
By category
culture23 settled+19%
crypto17 settled+9%
other502 settled+4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
19 open positions worth $18.5K
The markets steak.watch is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 26, avg 63¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 26, 2 fills, avg 37¢
KXBTC15M-26SEP261745-45
Sep 26, 3 fills, avg 69¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.2KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$5.0K on Yes, Sep 25
- 2+$1.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$3.0K on No, Sep 25
- 3+$1.5KGold price up in next 15 mins?$4.6K on No, Sep 25
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?66160%+$1.0K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?88175%+$4.6K
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?7662%+$1.5K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?1118%-$868
KXBTC15M-26SEP250145-453+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 29Sep 26
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$119
Sep 2026+$1.8K
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies steak.watch.
Bring steak.watch into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.