rodlukes
-$3.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,235
- First Seen
- May 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 10, 2026
- Followers
- 14
- Best In NBA
- 36% won · 22 settled · +$362
rodlukes is a Kalshi trader with 1,235 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 139 wins and 769 losses on settled markets, -$3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Kansas City + Pittsburgh + Not Los Angeles D wins by over 2.5 runs + New England on Sep 10.
- Win rate
- 15%
- Return on settled
- -9%
- Money traded
- $189.8K
- Typical trade
- $29
- Copy score
- 13/100
- Kalshi rank
- #4,263
Profit over time
+$0-$8.1K
May 15Sep 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6587%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢15929%22%-8 pts
40 to 60¢19950%39%-11 pts
60 to 80¢6769%48%-21 pts
Over 80¢15291%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $133099%-$1.1K
$13 to $2930916%+$17
$29 to $9330919%-$1.5K
$93 to $7.4K30821%-$802
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8208%-$36
Tennis17125%-$3.2K
Baseball15138%-$709
NBA3436%+$362
Bitcoin2418%-$84
NFL717%+$105
Side taken
Yes 76%24% No
If you had copied rodlukes
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$13621
Profit
on $58500 staked
94-491
Record
16% win rate
-23%
Return
35 still open
+$0-$14.5K
Jun 29Aug 31
-$18.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.72×
Profit factor
$35.5K won vs $49.1K lost
-7.1 pts
Edge vs implied
16% won at 23¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 37
- Deepest drawdown
- 463 trades
By category
other584 settled-23%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
34 open positions worth $2.8K
The markets rodlukes is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Parlay: Kansas City + Pittsburgh + Not Los Angeles D wins by over 2.5 runs + New England
Sep 10, avg 78¢
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 9, avg 87¢
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 9, avg 63¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.7Kyes Tampa Bay,yes Texas,yes Chicago C,yes San Diego$252 on Yes, Aug 23
- 2+$2.5Kyes New York Y,yes Cleveland,yes San Diego,yes Texas$282 on Yes, Aug 18
- 3+$1.6Kyes KT Wiz,yes Gen.G,yes Atlanta,yes New York Y,yes San Diego$101 on Yes, Aug 16
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille7+$0
yes Boston,yes Detroit,yes Chicago C,yes Seattle,yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,no Virginia wins by over 7.5 points,no TCU wins by over 9.5 points20%-$134
yes Boston,yes Chicago C,yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,yes Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Stanford,yes TCU20%-$93
yes Luciano Darderi,yes Jakub Mensik,yes Flavio Cobolli,yes Michael Zheng,yes Detroit,yes New York Y,yes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Boston,yes Los Angeles D2+$0
yes Ben Shelton,yes Andrey Rublev,yes Barcelona,yes San Diego,yes Miami,yes Texas,yes Chicago WS,yes Arizona,yes Amanda Anisimova20%-$93
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 13Sep 10
Profit by month
May 2026-$1.4K
Jun 2026-$1.9K
Jul 2026-$3.1K
Aug 2026+$3.0K
Sep 2026-$25
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