TheVig
thevig
+$9.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,053
- First Seen
- Feb 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 70
- Best In NFL
- 70% won · 10 settled · +$4.2K
TheVig is a Kalshi trader with 1,053 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 163 wins and 108 losses on settled markets, $9.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 60%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $350.2K
- Typical trade
- $2
- Copy score
- 65/100
- Kalshi rank
- #504
Profit over time
+$9.3K-$1.7K
Feb 22Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6810%20%+10 pts
20 to 40¢11131%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢34851%53%+1 pts
60 to 80¢33869%58%-11 pts
Over 80¢18891%96%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $126452%-$4
$1 to $226359%-$2
$2 to $2326346%-$77
$23 to $14K26387%+$9.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin57100%+$343
Tennis74556%+$3.7K
Hockey2888%+$69
NFL1870%+$4.2K
Soccer6543%+$650
NBA3850%+$427
Side taken
Yes 79%21% No
If you had copied TheVig
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$361
Profit
on $7400 staked
56-18
Record
76% win rate
-5%
Return
72 still open
+$0-$672
Jul 6Sep 28
-$878
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.80×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $1.8K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
76% won at 78¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 20 trades
By category
crypto34 settled+0%
other39 settled-11%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
50 open positions worth $118.0K
The markets TheVig is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 100¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, 3 fills, avg 100¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 100¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.2KKansas City wins by over 2.5 points?$8.5K on Yes, Sep 21
- 2+$2.8KWill Alexander Zverev win the Berrettini vs Zverev : Round Of 64 match?$11.8K on Yes, Mar 6
- 3+$1.5KWill Jenson Brooksby win the Brooksby vs Popyrin : Round Of 128 match?$2.9K on Yes, Mar 5
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?57100%+$343
Will Alexander Zverev win the Berrettini vs Zverev : Round Of 64 match?3100%+$2.8K
Will Elena Rybakina win the Li vs Rybakina: Round Of 32 match?1+$0
Will Elena Rybakina win the Kasatkina vs Rybakina: Round Of 64 match?1+$0
Carolina at Vancouver Winner?2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$455
Mar 2026+$5.1K
Apr 2026+$59
May 2026-$4
Jun 2026-$18
Jul 2026-$9
Aug 2026-$10
Sep 2026+$4.5K
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