xrsguy
-$526
- Tracked Trades
- 673
- First Seen
- Dec 19, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 26, 2026
- Followers
- 11
xrsguy is a Kalshi trader with 673 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 91 wins and 244 losses on settled markets, -$526 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 26.
- Win rate
- 27%
- Return on settled
- -4%
- Money traded
- $33.1K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Copy score
- 25/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,643
Profit over time
+$2.5K-$3.1K
Dec 19Sep 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4256%1%-5 pts
20 to 40¢8129%28%+0 pts
40 to 60¢11146%70%+24 pts
60 to 80¢2070%78%+8 pts
Over 80¢3693%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $116920%-$8
$1 to $816822%-$142
$8 to $4716837%+$9
$47 to $3.1K16834%-$385
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Crypto433%-$740
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied xrsguy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$9758
Profit
on $29800 staked
90-208
Record
30% win rate
-33%
Return
93 still open
+$0-$9.8K
Jun 29Sep 21
-$15.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.53×
Profit factor
$11.0K won vs $20.8K lost
+5.3 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 95
- Deepest drawdown
- 210 trades
By category
other295 settled-33%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
51 open positions worth $2.3K
The markets xrsguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 26, 2 fills, avg 54¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 26, 2 fills, avg 50¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 26, 18 fills, avg 19¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.8K on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$929BTC price up in next 15 mins?$619 on No, Sep 26
- 3+$853BTC price up in next 15 mins?$546 on No, Sep 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?35333%+$1.7K
yes San Francisco,no San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points,no Over 50.5 points scored2+$0
Will Green Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?5+$0
Green Bay at Chicago Winner?3+$0
Will Scottie Scheffler win the WM Phoenix Open?40%-$51
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 29Sep 26
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$178
Feb 2026-$488
Mar 2026-$263
Apr 2026-$85
May 2026-$238
Jun 2026-$271
Jul 2026-$28
Aug 2026-$61
Sep 2026+$1.1K
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