YellowOctopus

yellowoctopus

+$329

Tracked Trades: 388
First Seen: Dec 8, 2025
Last Trade: Sep 26, 2026
Followers: 2
Best In Tennis: 61% won · 122 settled · +$627

YellowOctopus is a Kalshi trader with 388 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 81 wins and 86 losses on settled markets, $329 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 26.

Win rate: 49%
Return on settled: +15%
Money traded: $8.6K
Typical trade: $9
Copy score: 41/100
Kalshi rank: #3,099

Profit over time

+$683-$10

Jul 27Sep 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge

Under 20¢2814%15%+11 pts

20 to 40¢7529%74%+45 pts

40 to 60¢2543%95%+53 pts

60 to 80¢371%

Over 80¢489%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit

$0 to $39776%+$70

$3 to $99729%+$20

$9 to $159726%+$146

$15 to $1.1K9732%+$93

Side taken

Yes 97%3% No

If you had copied YellowOctopus

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$13967

Profit

on $16700 staked

81-86

Record

49% win rate

+84%

Return

194 still open

Profit over time167 settled trades

+$14.9K-$100

Jul 6Sep 21

-$2.9K

Max drawdown

18% below peak

4.8×

Return / drawdown

profit per $1 of the dip

2.62×

Profit factor

$22.6K won vs $8.6K lost

+27.2 pts

Edge vs implied

49% won at 21¢ avg

Longest losing streak: 15
Deepest drawdown: 92 trades

By category

other167 settled+84%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

177 open positions worth $2.2K

The markets YellowOctopus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what YellowOctopus is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points

Sep 26, avg 92¢

SELLNO$1.1KOpen

yes Kent St.,yes Columbia,yes Baylor,yes Lafayette,yes Elon,yes Merrimack,yes Marist,yes Toledo,yes Stony Brook,yes Texas,yes UCLA,yes Sacred Heart

Sep 26, avg 1¢

BUYYES$9-$9

yes Butler,yes Columbia,yes Baylor,yes UTSA,yes Drake,yes Lafayette,yes Lehigh,yes Merrimack,yes Marist,yes Toledo,yes Stony Brook,yes Texas,yes Tennessee Tech,yes North Dakota,yes Sacred Heart,yes UNLV,yes Kentucky,yes Virginia Tech,yes Louisville,yes Yale

Sep 26, avg 1¢

BUYYES$9-$9

See every position across 253 markets

Biggest wins

1
Xirui Han wins
$95 on Yes, Aug 26
+$403
2
Shaoyun Liu wins
$38 on Yes, Aug 25
+$252
3
Ekaterina Ovcharenko wins
$47 on Yes, Aug 24
+$231

See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit

yes Daniel Jones: 200+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Josh Downs: 60+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+2+$0

yes Los Angeles C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Baltimore,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes Dallas,yes Las Vegas,yes Detroit,yes Cincinnati,yes Philadelphia20%-$5

yes Josh Allen: 2+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+2+$0

Donna Vekic wins10%-$146

When they trade

Sun

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 29Sep 26

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$10

Aug 2026+$422

Sep 2026-$83

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