mtrahan1
+$334
- Tracked Trades
- 1,247
- First Seen
- Jun 6, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 74% won · 127 settled · +$6.2K
mtrahan1 is a Kalshi trader with 1,247 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 269 wins and 123 losses on settled markets, $334 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Arthur Gea wins on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 69%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $136.7K
- Typical trade
- $27
- Copy score
- 76/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,093
Profit over time
+$8.3K-$2.3K
Jun 8Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1406%
20 to 40¢3632%
40 to 60¢38555%70%+15 pts
60 to 80¢55965%66%+1 pts
Over 80¢12088%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $731085%+$118
$7 to $2731056%-$1
$27 to $8431066%+$615
$84 to $4.1K31065%-$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball43274%+$5.7K
Tennis46479%+$4.1K
College football10160%-$2.9K
NFL140%-$5.5K
WNBA1550%-$197
Parlays20%-$1.9K
Side taken
Yes 51%49% No
If you had copied mtrahan1
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$9202
Profit
on $26200 staked
212-50
Record
81% win rate
+35%
Return
22 still open
+$9.2K+$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
17% below peak
6.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.84×
Profit factor
$14.2K won vs $5.0K lost
+21.2 pts
Edge vs implied
81% won at 60¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 17 trades
By category
other239 settled+39%
culture5 settled+25%
sports18 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
3 open positions worth $2.5K
The markets mtrahan1 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Arthur Gea wins
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 65¢
CHI Bears wins by over 14.5 points?
Sep 29, avg 59¢
Full Game: over 38.5 points scored?
Sep 29, avg 74¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$923LSU wins by over 6.5 points$1.3K on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$823Clemson wins$1.1K on Yes, Sep 26
- 3+$675Kyrian Jacquet wins$934 on Yes, Sep 27
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes DET Lions20%-$1.9K
KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP27NYJDET-4050%-$1.8K
New York M vs San Diego Total Runs?21+$0
Over 8.5 runs scored30100%+$1.3K
Over 7.5 runs scored16100%+$1.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$635
Sep 2026-$559
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