PolymarketGoodFallen
0x0ca4e9d27ff826a109ecbf74754fb66b93f277a6
+$258
- Tracked Trades
- 966
- First Seen
- Sep 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 51% won · 966 settled · +$258
GoodFallen is a Polymarket trader with 966 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 497 wins and 469 losses on settled markets, $258 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 51%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $6.9K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Copy score
- 48/100
- Polymarket rank
- #2,035
Profit over time
+$223-$289
Sep 29Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2316%17%+1 pts
20 to 40¢7332%27%-5 pts
40 to 60¢11549%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢7568%72%+4 pts
Over 80¢1684%81%-3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $77643%-$31
$7 to $197634%-$97
$20 to $337552%+$64
$33 to $887560%-$203
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin30247%-$266
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied GoodFallen
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1174
Profit
on $30200 staked
143-159
Record
47% win rate
-4%
Return
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
153% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$14.7K won vs $15.9K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 49¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 186 trades
By category
crypto289 settled-3%
culture12 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Sep 29, 3 fills, avg 63¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Sep 29, 3 fills, avg 41¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Sep 29, 3 fills, avg 67¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$514Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$511 on Up, Sep 29
- 2+$312Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$236 on Up, Sep 29
- 3+$309Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$186 on Up, Sep 29
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET3040%-$323
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET3949%+$159
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET2152%+$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET2143%-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET1450%-$81
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$266
Similar Polymarket traders
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