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Stats as of

paddaa

0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71

+$40.0K
Tracked Trades
1,874
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In US elections
73% won · 63 settled · +$42.2K

paddaa is a Polymarket trader with 1,874 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 342 wins and 204 losses on settled markets, $40.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? on Nov 3.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$3.4M
Typical trade
$1.2K
Avg entry
55¢
Polymarket rank
#833

Profit over time

+$40.0K-$83.2K
Aug 20Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8815%15%+1 pts
20 to 40¢33832%30%-2 pts
40 to 60¢32349%58%+9 pts
60 to 80¢53971%82%+12 pts
Over 80¢58687%80%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $78046953%+$10.1K
$780 to $1.2K46958%+$9.6K
$1.2K to $2.3K46865%+$8.7K
$2.3K to $15K46872%+$11.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics120260%+$27.8K
Commodities30284%+$35.4K
US elections12575%+$43.6K
US politics10746%-$30.4K
Tech and AI7350%-$6.0K
Other culture220%-$28.4K

Side taken

Yes 37%63% No

If you had copied paddaa

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,040.02
Profit
on $17,400.00 staked
107-67
Record
61% win rate
+12%
Return
171 still open
Profit over time174 settled trades
+$2.0K+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
53% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$8.7K won vs $6.7K lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 57¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
59 trades

By category

culture26 settled+21%
finance7 settled+12%
politics137 settled+11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

121 open positions worth $662.2K

The markets paddaa is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what paddaa is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 11 fills
Yes67¢sold 69¢$27.0K+$13.2K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Yes74¢$3.9K+$1.4K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes28¢$2.4K+$6.2K
See every position across 302 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
    $29.2K on No at 50¢, Nov 2
    +$28.8K
  2. 2
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    $75.7K on No at 73¢, Oct 12
    +$28.1K
  3. 3
    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
    $17.6K on Yes at 40¢, Sep 9
    +$26.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?64¢6388%+$16.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?82¢31+$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?66¢33+$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?40¢3412%-$29.4K
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?86¢32+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$64.2K
Sep 2026+$11.3K
Oct 2026+$77.2K
Nov 2026+$15.7K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position65%
Opened a new position13%
Closed a position13%
Added to a position10%
Flipped sides0%

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