rivomarkets

ultra-poverty

0x810f548651551a1e171c8d7279bd29ed68b057aa

+$1.0K
Tracked Trades
195
First Seen
Jun 14, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In Entertainment
85% won · 13 settled · +$1.1K

ultra-poverty is a Polymarket trader with 195 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? on Sep 28.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$12.8K
Typical trade
$25
Copy score
36/100
Polymarket rank
#1,993

Profit over time

+$1.2K+$0
Aug 9Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢759%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢3929%62%+32 pts
40 to 60¢4150%56%+6 pts
60 to 80¢2667%60%-7 pts
Over 80¢593%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $64750%+$3
$6 to $264736%+$35
$26 to $854647%+$204
$87 to $7504663%+$791

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Entertainment8785%+$1.1K
Companies1856%+$165
Tech and AI4132%+$125
World politics200%-$286
Esports950%+$73
US elections1+$0

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied ultra-poverty

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$826
Profit
on $4800 staked
24-24
Record
50% win rate
+17%
Return
69 still open
Profit over time48 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0
Jun 29Sep 28
-$800
Max drawdown
61% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $2.4K lost
+6.6 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 43¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
8 trades

By category

culture36 settled+23%
finance7 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

37 open positions worth $4.0K

The markets ultra-poverty is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ultra-poverty is holding

Recent positions

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?
Sep 28, 4 fills, avg 27¢
BUYYES$50-$50
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?
Sep 28, 2 fills, avg 19¢
BUYNO$21-$21
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
Sep 27, 5 fills, avg 40¢
SELLYES$128Open
See every position across 77 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
    $506 on No, Aug 12
    +$904
  2. 2
    Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
    $1.7K on Yes, Sep 2
    +$602
  3. 3
    Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
    $266 on Yes, Sep 5
    +$234
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?4100%+$602
No one announced as next James Bond?4+$0
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?520%-$437
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?4100%+$229
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$277
Sep 2026+$757

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