rivomarkets

glm404.fund

0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f

+$874
Tracked Trades
1,307
First Seen
Aug 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In World politics
100% won · 46 settled · +$663

glm404.fund is a Polymarket trader with 1,307 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 259 wins and 18 losses on settled markets, $874 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? on Sep 29.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$108.1K
Typical trade
$511
Copy score
90/100
Polymarket rank
#1,845

Profit over time

+$1.0K-$81
Aug 19Sep 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢57%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢234%0%-34 pts
40 to 60¢251%0%-50 pts
60 to 80¢474%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢28196%99%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $187490%-$15
$18 to $51174100%+$573
$511 to $5377392%-$124
$540 to $89073100%+$582

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates44100%+$320
NFL44+$0
World politics81100%+$663
Soccer21100%+$431
US elections2882%+$43
Tennis7100%+$235

Side taken

Yes 2%98% No

If you had copied glm404.fund

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$301
Profit
on $17600 staked
168-8
Record
95% win rate
-2%
Return
112 still open
Profit over time176 settled trades
+$0-$478
Aug 17Sep 28
-$518
Max drawdown
25373% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.62×
Profit factor
$499 won vs $800 lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
95% won at 95¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
139 trades

By category

sports7 settled+4%
finance42 settled+1%
culture58 settled-2%
politics69 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

38 open positions worth $51.6K

The markets glm404.fund is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what glm404.fund is holding

Recent positions

Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?
Sep 29, avg 96¢
BUYNO$527Open
Will the Republican Party win the OR-05 House seat?
Sep 29, avg 94¢
BUYNO$518Open
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sep 28, 10 fills, avg 94¢
BUYNO$5.2KOpen
See every position across 131 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $4.1K on No, Sep 20
    +$325
  2. 2
    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $29.5K on No, Sep 4
    +$320
  3. 3
    Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
    $2.1K on No, Sep 1
    +$246
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?42100%+$320
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12+$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?10+$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?9+$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$731
Sep 2026+$284

How they build positions

Trimmed a position50%
Closed a position25%
Opened a new position25%

Similar Polymarket traders

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