rivomarkets

caspar1248

0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369

+$9.9K
Tracked Trades
1,090
First Seen
Sep 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Esports
67% won · 107 settled · +$11.2K

caspar1248 is a Polymarket trader with 1,090 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 354 wins and 344 losses on settled markets, $9.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30? on Sep 29.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$102.5K
Typical trade
$15
Copy score
47/100
Polymarket rank
#1,311

Profit over time

+$12.3K-$1.3K
Sep 8Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2376%2%-5 pts
20 to 40¢14229%24%-4 pts
40 to 60¢22850%59%+8 pts
60 to 80¢18269%72%+3 pts
Over 80¢28492%93%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $426921%-$141
$4 to $1526848%-$466
$15 to $4826866%-$407
$49 to $1.0K26867%+$9.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports11863%+$9.8K
NFL12043%-$1.9K
Tennis17947%-$733
Soccer24426%-$2.0K
MMA1937%+$1.6K
Baseball2533%+$497

Side taken

Yes 8%92% No

If you had copied caspar1248

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$14492
Profit
on $68400 staked
340-344
Record
50% win rate
-21%
Return
375 still open
Profit over time684 settled trades
+$253-$14.5K
Sep 7Sep 28
-$16.2K
Max drawdown
1252% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.58×
Profit factor
$19.9K won vs $34.4K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
29
Deepest drawdown
580 trades

By category

sports80 settled+5%
culture604 settled-25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

194 open positions worth $16.6K

The markets caspar1248 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what caspar1248 is holding

Recent positions

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30?
Sep 29, avg 98¢
BUYNO$20Open
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?
Sep 29, avg 95¢
BUYNO$38Open
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 96¢
BUYNO$48Open
See every position across 559 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In
    $1.9K on megoshort, Sep 27
    +$3.1K
  2. 2
    Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
    $2.7K on G2 Ares, Sep 21
    +$2.2K
  3. 3
    UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
    $3.2K on Joshua Van, Sep 20
    +$2.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Cardinals vs. Chargers4100%+$691
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)4100%+$2.2K
Ravens vs. Cowboys2080%-$652
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage4100%+$2.2K
Seahawks vs. Commanders1040%+$828

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$8.4K

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