Polymarketnotgoodluck
0x413f29bc7f5ce2a2d8d28fb3a8b5d75199d247f3
+$9.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 124
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 92% won · 24 settled · +$4.6K
notgoodluck is a Polymarket trader with 124 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 33 losses on settled markets, $9.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 73%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $378.2K
- Typical trade
- $1.7K
- Copy score
- 64/100
- Polymarket rank
- #1,129
Profit over time
+$37.2K-$3.7K
Aug 20Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢418%0%-18 pts
20 to 40¢123%0%-23 pts
40 to 60¢1149%18%-31 pts
60 to 80¢3671%58%-13 pts
Over 80¢7187%93%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$503 to $7813152%-$8.9K
$781 to $1.7K3167%-$5.0K
$1.8K to $4.2K3194%+$17.8K
$4.3K to $18K3080%+$5.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer8070%-$8.0K
Fed and rates729%-$7.4K
World politics8100%+$16.6K
Tennis2492%+$4.6K
Esports333%+$4.0K
Other crypto1+$0
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied notgoodluck
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1412
Profit
on $12200 staked
89-33
Record
73% win rate
-12%
Return
+$413-$1.4K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
384% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $3.3K lost
-4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
73% won at 77¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 63 trades
By category
politics8 settled+35%
sports8 settled-3%
culture99 settled-12%
finance7 settled-68%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?
Sep 19, 7 fills, avg 83¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Sep 18, 8 fills, avg 74¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 16, 2 fills, avg 88¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$16.6KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$47.1K on Yes, Sep 18
- 2+$8.3KWill FC Porto win on 2026-09-12?$31.0K on Yes, Sep 12
- 3+$7.3KWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-05?$34.3K on Yes, Sep 5
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?8100%+$16.6K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-09?9100%+$6.7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?2100%+$4.8K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-05?8100%+$7.3K
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-04?3100%+$5.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$1.8K
Sep 2026+$11.7K
How they build positions
Added to a position73%
Opened a new position25%
Trimmed a position2%
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