rivomarkets
Kalshi

griesbauer

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
238
First Seen
Jan 28, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
3
Best In Parlays
64% won · 14 settled · +$1.5K

griesbauer is a Kalshi trader with 238 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 83 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 28.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+17%
Money traded
$16.8K
Typical trade
$46
Copy score
36/100
Kalshi rank
#2,161

Profit over time

+$1.5K-$15
Jan 28Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢549%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢8930%16%-14 pts
40 to 60¢8452%71%+19 pts
60 to 80¢763%100%+37 pts
Over 80¢496%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $96064%-$23
$9 to $466032%+$145
$47 to $955929%+$98
$95 to $2.7K5954%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays6564%+$1.5K
Baseball3435%+$8
Tennis8353%-$131
NFL2124%-$56
College football1638%+$115
MMA1+$0

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied griesbauer

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1139
Profit
on $14200 staked
63-79
Record
44% win rate
-8%
Return
53 still open
Profit over time142 settled trades
+$1.6K-$1.2K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
157% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$6.8K won vs $7.9K lost
+3.5 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 41¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
75 trades

By category

other142 settled-8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

51 open positions worth $3.6K

The markets griesbauer is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what griesbauer is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 28, avg 79¢
SELLNO$2.7KOpen
yes Terence Atmane,yes Alafia Ayeni,yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Enzo Aguiard,yes Hiroki Moriya,yes Omar Jasika,yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Evan Zhu
Sep 28, avg 2¢
SELLNO$5Open
Los Angeles R wins
Sep 28, avg 32¢
BUYYES$33-$33
See every position across 149 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Pro Football AFC Championship Winner?
    $45 on Yes, Nov 2
    +$522
  2. 2
    yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit
    $287 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$515
  3. 3
    yes San Francisco,yes SMU
    $191 on Yes, Sep 7
    +$402
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Milwaukee wins467%+$253
yes James Cook III: 80+,no Buffalo wins by over 5.5 points,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+2+$0
Minnesota wins20%-$404
Matteo Berrettini wins20%-$96

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Jan 2025+$11
Feb 2025+$21
Nov 2025+$475
Jan 2026-$71
Feb 2026+$1
Aug 2026-$97
Sep 2026+$1.1K

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