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Stats as of

3rdmoneyline

+$2.2K
Tracked Trades
2,313
First Seen
Jun 18, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Entertainment
60% won · 30 settled · +$523.76

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active culture traders who bet one side: locksy, jayqee, neednewiphone

3rdmoneyline is a Kalshi trader with 2,313 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 111 wins and 188 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: LYON records the first blood in Game 3 on Nov 4.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$79.8K
Typical trade
$11.50
Avg entry
31¢
Kalshi rank
#2,218

Profit over time

+$2.4K-$35.00
Jun 18Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢23011%7%-4 pts
20 to 40¢32531%12%-19 pts
40 to 60¢89152%61%+10 pts
60 to 80¢56368%92%+24 pts
Over 80¢30488%98%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $557918%-$87.25
$5 to $1257833%-$96.70
$12 to $2657844%-$60.19
$26 to $1.6K57864%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports103762%-$71.89
Tennis77127%-$220.64
Baseball16253%+$141.29
College football3167%+$1.5K
NBA4067%+$158.28
Entertainment9260%+$523.76

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied 3rdmoneyline

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$75.20
Profit
on $7,600.00 staked
36-40
Record
47% win rate
-1%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time76 settled trades
+$632.61-$150.49
Aug 3Nov 2
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
159% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $4.0K lost
+2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
67 trades

By category

other31 settled+0%
sports45 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
LYON records the first blood in Game 3
Nov 4, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 59¢$78.75Exited
Gen.G records the first blood in Game 3
Nov 4, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 60¢$353.41Exited
LYON records 3+ tower kills in Game 3
Nov 4, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 58¢$147.42Exited
See every position across 712 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Louisville wins
    $2.1K on Yes at 55¢, Sep 19
    +$1.7K
  2. 2
    Will Lyric Medeiros be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Aug 7, 2026?
    $91.53 on Yes at 13¢, Aug 5
    +$601.26
  3. 3
    Louisville wins
    $579.50 on Yes at 58¢, Sep 19
    +$420.51
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Louisville wins56¢7100%+$2.1K
Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?63¢4067%+$158.28
Hanwha Life Esports wins14+$0.00
SMU wins27¢30%-$504.81
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner?64¢4843%+$173.98

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$659.69
Jul 2026-$285.18
Aug 2026+$550.04
Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026-$121.75
Nov 2026-$64.37

Kalshi leaderboards

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