honestlynumb
+$4.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 987
- First Seen
- Apr 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 15, 2026
- Followers
- 34
- Best In Parlays
- 20% won · 40 settled · +$5.0K
honestlynumb is a Kalshi trader with 987 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 48 wins and 84 losses on settled markets, $4.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Borna Gojo,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bristol City,yes Middlesbrough,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Alaves,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Cristina Bucsa on Sep 15.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Return on settled
- +39%
- Money traded
- $105.5K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Copy score
- 19/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,085
Profit over time
+$4.7K-$2.4K
Jun 6Sep 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4246%18%+11 pts
20 to 40¢21629%41%+12 pts
40 to 60¢20849%39%-10 pts
60 to 80¢5868%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢8192%67%-26 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $224723%-$0
$2 to $1024742%+$109
$10 to $4824734%-$54
$48 to $14K24640%+$4.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays37020%+$5.0K
Soccer22644%+$456
Tennis6350%+$104
Bitcoin204+$0
WNBA40%-$393
Baseball3420%-$487
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied honestlynumb
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5305
Profit
on $7800 staked
22-56
Record
28% win rate
+68%
Return
309 still open
+$5.3K-$1.8K
Jun 29Sep 14
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.95×
Profit factor
$10.9K won vs $5.6K lost
-2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
28% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 67 trades
By category
other78 settled+68%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
264 open positions worth $26.4K
The markets honestlynumb is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
yes Borna Gojo,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bristol City,yes Middlesbrough,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Alaves,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Cristina Bucsa
Sep 15, avg 1¢
yes Borna Gojo,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Alaves,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Cristina Bucsa
Sep 15, avg 5¢
no Over 24.5 1H points scored,no Over 14.5 1Q points scored,yes Denver,yes Jaylen Waddle: 50+,yes Rashee Rice: 50+,no Over 45.5 points scored
Sep 14, avg 7¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.7Kyes Daniel Masur,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Kansas City,no Over 48.5 points scored,yes Como,yes Roma,yes Inter,yes Magdalena Frech$93 on Yes, Sep 14
- 2+$2.6Kyes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$752 on Yes, Sep 3
- 3+$1.9Kyes Daniel Masur,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 28.5 1H points scored,yes Kansas City,no Over 48.5 points scored,yes Como,no Torino,yes Inter,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Magdalena Frech$94 on Yes, Sep 14
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Lionel Messi: 2+,yes Kylian Mbappe: 2+,yes Erling Haaland: 2+4+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points4+$0
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored2+$0
yes Germany,yes Argentina,yes France,yes England,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored3+$0
yes Morocco,yes Vinicius Junior: 1+,yes Brazil wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Netherlands wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored3+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 18Sep 15
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$509
Jul 2026-$49
Aug 2026-$2.2K
Sep 2026+$6.1K
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