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Stats as of
raphias
+$36.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 33
- First Seen
- Jun 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In US elections
- 100% won · 15 settled · +$30.7K
raphias is a Kalshi trader with 33 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $36.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Florida on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 86%
- Return on settled
- +31%
- Money traded
- $117.6K
- Typical trade
- $2.9K
- Avg entry
- 75¢
- Kalshi rank
- #153
Profit over time
+$36.2K+$0.00
Jun 13Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢315%50%+35 pts
20 to 40¢136%
40 to 60¢754%100%+46 pts
60 to 80¢767%67%-1 pts
Over 80¢1585%93%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$19 to $94950%+$292.15
$478 to $2.9K883%+$6.6K
$4.0K to $4.9K8100%+$13.7K
$4.9K to $14K8100%+$15.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US elections15100%+$30.7K
College football3100%+$3.2K
NFL533%-$281.52
Parlays1100%+$1.2K
Soccer5100%+$1.5K
Tennis433%-$60.51
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied raphias
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$55.95
Profit
on $1,200.00 staked
8-4
Record
67% win rate
-5%
Return
+$127.23-$63.25
Aug 10Oct 26
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 12 so far.
By category
sports7 settled+2%
other5 settled-15%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Florida
Oct 31, 8 fills
Alabama wins
Oct 24
South Carolina wins
Oct 10, 6 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$8.7KWill the Republican party win the governorship in Florida$38.2K on Yes at 81¢, Sep 17
- 2+$7.7KWill Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?$9.6K on Yes at 56¢, Aug 11
- 3+$7.6KWill the Democratic party win the governorship in Florida$21.8K on No at 74¢, Oct 31
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida81¢8100%+$13.2K
GOVPARTYFL-26-D80¢1100%+$3.4K
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Florida70¢3100%+$5.3K
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?56¢2100%+$7.7K
GOVPARTYFL-26-R82¢1100%+$1.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$1.5K
Aug 2026+$7.7K
Sep 2026+$21.6K
Oct 2026+$5.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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