rivomarkets

thunder05

+$9.9K
Tracked Trades
496
First Seen
Mar 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
122

thunder05 is a Kalshi trader with 496 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 143 wins and 126 losses on settled markets, $9.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Oregon St. wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$226.9K
Typical trade
$126
Copy score
44/100
Kalshi rank
#678

Profit over time

+$15.5K-$9.4K
Mar 21Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3810%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢11232%40%+8 pts
40 to 60¢20448%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢8169%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢5987%97%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2212447%-$118
$22 to $12612459%+$702
$129 to $50712352%+$1.6K
$512 to $7.0K12354%+$7.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports4466%+$10.2K
Culture367%-$1.2K

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied thunder05

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1383
Profit
on $11600 staked
62-54
Record
53% win rate
-12%
Return
19 still open
Profit over time116 settled trades
+$1.3K-$1.4K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
233% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.74×
Profit factor
$4.0K won vs $5.4K lost
-1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
23
Deepest drawdown
75 trades

By category

sports32 settled-4%
other81 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $17.0K

The markets thunder05 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thunder05 is holding

Recent positions

Oregon St. wins
Sep 20, 6 fills, avg 88¢
BUYYES$9.9KOpen
Florida wins
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 74¢
BUYYES$2.9KOpen
North Carolina wins
Sep 19, avg 22¢
SELLNO$2.5KOpen
See every position across 221 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Baltimore wins
    $5.9K on Yes, Sep 16
    +$6.1K
  2. 2
    KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX-TEX
    $4.8K on Yes, Sep 12
    +$4.3K
  3. 3
    Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins?
    $4.8K on Yes, Sep 14
    +$4.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Miami (FL) wins4100%+$1.4K
Oregon St. wins6+$0
North Carolina wins20%-$4.8K
Baltimore wins250%+$6.1K
Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins?1100%+$4.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$3.4K
Apr 2026-$2.8K
May 2026-$500
Jun 2026+$994
Aug 2026-$622
Sep 2026+$16.2K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy thunder05 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.