sad.pill
+$4.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,045
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 22, 2026
- Followers
- 7
- Best In Baseball
- 40% won · 161 settled · +$4.8K
sad.pill is a Kalshi trader with 2,045 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 646 wins and 900 losses on settled markets, $4.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Toronto wins on Sep 22.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $186.6K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Copy score
- 39/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,138
Profit over time
+$8.6K-$802
Aug 20Sep 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢36011%15%+4 pts
20 to 40¢60930%21%-9 pts
40 to 60¢43148%57%+9 pts
60 to 80¢38268%66%-1 pts
Over 80¢26392%86%-6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $151250%+$8
$1 to $951139%+$113
$9 to $4751133%-$1.8K
$47 to $5.4K51146%+$5.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis63632%-$1.8K
College football42347%+$2.1K
Baseball28640%+$4.8K
Soccer47936%-$3.5K
NFL12689%+$1.9K
WNBA3116%+$467
Side taken
Yes 85%15% No
If you had copied sad.pill
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$8554
Profit
on $154600 staked
646-900
Record
42% win rate
-6%
Return
84 still open
+$0-$8.6K
Aug 17Sep 21
-$29.7K
Max drawdown
141% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.90×
Profit factor
$81.4K won vs $90.0K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 43¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 63
- Deepest drawdown
- 1007 trades
By category
culture9 settled+6%
sports15 settled+3%
other1522 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
7 open positions worth $6.8K
The markets sad.pill is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Toronto wins
Sep 22, avg 87¢
McKenna Schaefbauer wins
Sep 22, avg 52¢
Tori Kinard wins
Sep 22, avg 89¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.6KAtlanta wins$1.3K on Yes, Sep 20
- 2+$2.3KClemson wins$818 on Yes, Sep 19
- 3+$2.1KKansas City wins$3.8K on Yes, Sep 21
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Tie is the result33051%+$369
San Jose St. wins400%-$1.3K
Xinxin Yao wins4+$0
Braden Shick wins80%-$2.6K
Alabama wins67100%+$1.7K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 25Sep 22
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$94
Sep 2026+$4.2K
Similar Kalshi traders
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