Thepromise2214
thepromise2214
+$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 91
- First Seen
- Jul 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 3
- Best In Parlays
- 20% won · 15 settled · +$1.2K
Thepromise2214 is a Kalshi trader with 91 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Zhuoxuan Bai on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +124%
- Money traded
- $2.9K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Copy score
- 20/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,151
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$12
Sep 13Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢479%14%+6 pts
20 to 40¢1727%64%+37 pts
40 to 60¢451%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢163%100%+37 pts
Over 80¢1489%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $42136%+$29
$4 to $10217%-$65
$10 to $242142%+$381
$24 to $6022045%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2721%+$1.2K
Soccer265%-$123
MMA2875%+$419
Tennis20%-$14
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied Thepromise2214
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4523
Profit
on $5100 staked
16-35
Record
31% win rate
+89%
Return
8 still open
+$5.0K-$677
Jul 27Sep 28
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
4429% below peak
4.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.29×
Profit factor
$8.0K won vs $3.5K lost
+14.4 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 10 trades
By category
sports51 settled+89%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
8 open positions worth $81
The markets Thepromise2214 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Zhuoxuan Bai
Sep 29, avg 0¢
yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Zhuoxuan Bai
Sep 29, avg 36¢
yes Gustavo Heide,yes Felipe Meligeni Alves,yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Jay Clarke,yes Terence Atmane,yes Michael Zheng,yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Casper Ruud,yes Alex de Minaur,yes Arthur Fils,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Denis Shapovalov,yes Tommy Paul,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Yuka Hosoki,yes Laquisa Khan,yes Jessica Bouzas Maneiro,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Sara Sorribes Tormo,yes Kyoka Okamura,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Lola Radivojevic,yes Kimberly Birrell,yes Maya Joint,yes Robin Montgomery,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich,yes Anastasia Zakharova,yes Zhuoxuan Bai
Sep 28, avg 0¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$880yes Andrey Rublev,yes Adrian Mannarino,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Daniil Medvedev$47 on Yes, Sep 27
- 2+$641yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Zhuoxuan Bai$364 on Yes, Sep 29
- 3+$212Patricio Pitbull wins$95 on Yes, Sep 20
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Nikoloz Basilashvili,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Denis Shapovalov,yes Fabian Marozsan,yes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2+$0
yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Zhuoxuan Bai2100%+$641
yes Rinky Hijikata,yes Andrey Rublev,yes Martin Landaluce,yes Taro Daniel,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina,yes Daniil Medvedev20%-$14
Puebla wins20%-$28
Leon wins20%-$38
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$1.5K
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies Thepromise2214.
Bring Thepromise2214 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.