rivomarkets

thickpotatoes

+$727
Tracked Trades
241
First Seen
Jan 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
6
Best In NBA
52% won ยท 23 settled ยท +$516

thickpotatoes is a Kalshi trader with 241 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 41 losses on settled markets, $727 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Courtland Sutton: 3+,yes Jaylen Waddle: 5+,yes Terrance Ferguson: 4+,yes Kyren Williams: 15+,yes RJ Harvey: 25+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+ on Sep 28.

Win rate
28%
Return on settled
+142%
Money traded
$2.7K
Typical trade
$4
Avg entry
6ยข
Kalshi rank
#2,721

Profit over time

+$822-$4
Feb 4Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1907%27%+20 pts
20 to 40ยข2626%24%-2 pts
40 to 60ยข1245%33%-11 pts
60 to 80ยข275%
Over 80ยข1191%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2616%-$9
$2 to $46013%+$5
$4 to $66050%+$62
$7 to $1.1K6039%+$669

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL227%-$66
Parlays1777%+$258
NBA3552%+$516
College football367%+$22
Soccer2+$0
MMA1+$0

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied thickpotatoes

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$278
Profit
on $2800 staked
4-24
Record
14% win rate
-10%
Return
45 still open
Profit over time28 settled trades
+$271-$278
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
118% below peak
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88ร—
Profit factor
$2.1K won vs $2.4K lost
-3.6 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 18ยข avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
22 trades

By category

other28 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

45 open positions worth $273

The markets thickpotatoes is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thickpotatoes is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Courtland Sutton: 3+,yes Jaylen Waddle: 5+,yes Terrance Ferguson: 4+,yes Kyren Williams: 15+,yes RJ Harvey: 25+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+
Sep 28
Yes2ยข$5-$5
yes RJ Harvey: 25+,yes Kyren Williams: 50+,yes Courtland Sutton: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+
Sep 27
Yes3ยข$9-$9
Lamar Jackson: 1+ touchdowns
Sep 27
Yes31ยข$10-$10
See every position across 204 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $26 on Yes at 7ยข, Jun 11
    +$348
  2. 2
    yes Trey McBride: 6+,yes Garrett Wilson: 5+,yes George Kittle: 25+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 70+,yes Stefon Diggs: 25+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+
    $19 on Yes at 6ยข, Sep 27
    +$294
  3. 3
    Las Vegas wins
    $48 on Yes at 26ยข, Sep 27
    +$135
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Arizona wins8ยข20%-$94
Who will win Finals MVP?6ยข20%-$7
Tampa Bay wins40ยข20%-$24
Jeremiyah Love: 2+ touchdowns42ยข40%-$23
Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?29ยข4100%+$128

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$4
Mar 2026+$19
Apr 2026-$1
May 2026+$26
Jun 2026+$462
Sep 2026+$225

Similar Kalshi traders

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