House Control Odds 2026
Live odds for control of the House from Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. Compare every party's price, order book and whale bets across venues.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket US
PolymarketDemocrats
92%
- 92%
- 93%
- 91%
Republicans
9%
- 9%
- 9%
- 9%
Live odds
0%25%50%75%100%
Democrats92%Republicans9%
Sep 1Sep 13Sep 25
The median price across venues, this month. Point at a name to pick out its line, or at the graph to read every party on that day.
| Week | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats | 92% | 93% | 91% | |
| Republicans | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Order booksDemocrats YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
91.5¢131K$120K
91.6¢70K$64K
91.7¢19K$17K
91.8¢10K$9.2K
91.9¢1.3K$1.1K
Spread0.1¢
91.4¢11K$9.8K
91.3¢69K$63K
91.2¢76K$69K
91.1¢105K$95K
91¢58K$53K
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
93¢72K$67K
94¢54K$51K
95¢78K$74K
96¢19K$18K
97¢44K$42K
Spread1¢
92¢433K$398K
91¢193K$176K
90¢78K$71K
89¢90K$80K
88¢64K$56K
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
91.4¢169K$154K
91.5¢1.0K$915
91.9¢12$11
92¢868$799
92.4¢103$95
Spread0.1¢
91.3¢93K$85K
91.2¢28K$26K
91¢15K$14K
90.8¢2$2
90.6¢16$14
Where to bet
- KalshiCheapest on 1 of 2 parties
- Polymarket USCheapest on 1 of 2 parties
- PolymarketCheapest on 0 of 2 parties
Whale trades
- $9415h ago
YES Republicans @ 9.1¢
Polymarket US
- $3.5K6h ago
NO Republicans @ 92¢
- $3.5K6h ago
NO Republicans @ 92¢
- See all 1,930 whale trades
Biggest positions
Democrats is ahead at 92%. Republicans next at 9%. Kalshi carries 63% of the day's $159K volume. Whales put $2.2M on YES and $2.0M on NO in 30 days, most on Democrats. Settles Nov 3, 2026.