rivomarkets

xasd-440

0xfa3b4d18b821ff075d9290fea82434b3ae106900

+$2.9K
Tracked Trades
139
First Seen
Mar 8, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 25, 2026
Best In US politics
100% won · 50 settled · +$2.7K

xasd-440 is a Polymarket trader with 139 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? on Sep 25.

Win rate
96%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$41.1K
Typical trade
$60
Avg entry
12¢
Polymarket rank
#1,970

Profit over time

+$2.9K+$0
Aug 22Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢618%50%+42 pts
20 to 40¢1430%83%+53 pts
40 to 60¢453%100%+47 pts
60 to 80¢1672%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢4489%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $203591%+$124
$20 to $603594%+$204
$60 to $35035100%+$706
$366 to $3.1K34100%+$1.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI5350%+$31
US politics59100%+$2.7K
Bitcoin14+$0
Entertainment580%+$172
Companies2+$0
Fed and rates2+$0

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied xasd-440

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2496
Profit
on $5700 staked
55-2
Record
96% win rate
+44%
Return
46 still open
Profit over time57 settled trades
+$2.5K+$0
Jun 29Sep 21
-$100
Max drawdown
16% below peak
25.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
13.48×
Profit factor
$2.7K won vs $200 lost
+19.2 pts
Edge vs implied
96% won at 77¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
1 trades

By category

culture7 settled+148%
politics50 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $12.1K

The markets xasd-440 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what xasd-440 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?
Sep 25
No39¢$4Open
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?
Sep 25
No81¢$50Open
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?
Sep 25
Yes85¢$16Open
See every position across 28 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?
    $7.1K on No at 84¢, Sep 14
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
    $8.6K on Yes at 86¢, Sep 18
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?
    $109 on Yes at 36¢, Aug 22
    +$192
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?9¢34+$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?86¢31100%+$1.4K
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?84¢19100%+$1.4K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?4¢16+$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?93¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 28Sep 25

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$172
Sep 2026+$2.8K

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