rivomarkets

4day.bender

+$124
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Followers
49
Best In Parlays
15% won · 13 settled · +$112

4day.bender is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 48 losses on settled markets, $124 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Cleveland,yes Deshaun Watson: 1+ on Oct 2.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$66.9K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#3,660

Profit over time

+$422-$58
Jul 13Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6413%8%+4 pts
20 to 40¢11128%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢14251%33%-18 pts
60 to 80¢4069%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢6691%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625018%-$34
$6 to $1925033%+$134
$19 to $4325013%-$96
$45 to $3.1K25040%+$119

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays66310%-$40
Baseball21425%+$4
WNBA14+$0
Tennis160%-$0
NFL1260%+$196
Bitcoin640%-$2

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied 4day.bender

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$713
Profit
on $6400 staked
16-48
Record
25% win rate
-11%
Return
812 still open
Profit over time64 settled trades
+$1.4K-$713
Jul 6Sep 28
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
135% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$4.1K won vs $4.8K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 24¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
42 trades

By category

sports63 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

612 open positions worth $35.6K

The markets 4day.bender is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 4day.bender is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Cleveland,yes Deshaun Watson: 1+
Oct 2, 3 fills
Yes8¢$124-$124
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Oct 2
Sold Nosold 84¢$1.2KExited
PIT Steelers wins by over 2.5 points?
Oct 1
No47¢$145+$163
See every position across 646 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 Home Run Derby?
    $242 on Yes at 29¢, Jul 14
    +$587
  2. 2
    PIT Steelers wins by over 2.5 points?
    $145 on No at 47¢, Oct 1
    +$163
  3. 3
    yes Kansas City,yes Travis Kelce: 1+
    $47 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 21
    +$153
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille4+$0
yes KaVontae Turpin: 1+,yes Jaylen Waddle: 1+,yes Terry McLaurin: 1+,yes Dontayvion Wicks: 1+0¢2+$0
Doosan Bears vs SSG Landers winner?59¢58+$0
yes Los Angeles A,yes San Diego,yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles D1¢2+$0
St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner?60¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$255
Aug 2026-$19
Sep 2026-$49
Oct 2026-$64

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