Blacksmith609
blacksmith609
+$3.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 907
- First Seen
- Jul 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 44% won · 506 settled · +$2.8K
Blacksmith609 is a Kalshi trader with 907 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 236 wins and 313 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Tie is the result on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- +26%
- Money traded
- $40.9K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,792
Profit over time
+$3.6K-$430
Jul 13Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1529%15%+6 pts
20 to 40¢28229%30%+2 pts
40 to 60¢23848%59%+11 pts
60 to 80¢11365%54%-12 pts
Over 80¢12292%86%-6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $222745%+$40
$2 to $1022733%+$3
$10 to $4422743%+$215
$44 to $3.9K22654%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays18931%+$175
Soccer71644%+$2.8K
Commodities2100%+$3
Side taken
Yes 82%18% No
If you had copied Blacksmith609
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5156
Profit
on $54900 staked
236-313
Record
43% win rate
+9%
Return
193 still open
+$8.4K-$690
Jul 13Oct 5
-$13.7K
Max drawdown
76% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.16×
Profit factor
$36.5K won vs $31.3K lost
+3.5 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 39¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 46
- Deepest drawdown
- 185 trades
By category
sports548 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
159 open positions worth $5.9K
The markets Blacksmith609 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Tie is the result
Oct 5
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 5
yes Tie,yes Sweden,yes Tie
Oct 5
Biggest wins
- 1+$555yes France,yes Tie,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Sweden$66 on Yes at 11¢, Sep 28
- 2+$371Tie is the result$193 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 2
- 3+$345yes Austria,yes Denmark,yes Tie,yes Netherlands$47 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Tie is the result34¢49341%+$1.6K
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Miami,yes Los Angeles F,yes Philadelphia,yes Vancouver,yes Over 1.5 goals scored0¢2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
yes Belarus,yes England,yes Spain,yes Luxembourg,yes Iceland,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland5¢20%-$94
yes Manchester City,yes Guadalajara,yes Tigres,yes Miami,yes Portland,yes Inter6¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$16
Aug 2026-$124
Sep 2026+$2.6K
Oct 2026+$536
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