constitutional.tarsier
+$3.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 81
- First Seen
- Jun 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Followers
- 3
- Best In Soccer
- 59% won · 59 settled · +$3.5K
constitutional.tarsier is a Kalshi trader with 81 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 40 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $3.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: USA wins on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 58%
- Return on settled
- +21%
- Money traded
- $25.5K
- Typical trade
- $89
- Avg entry
- 66¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,721
Profit over time
+$3.2K-$46
Jun 28Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢815%0%-15 pts
20 to 40¢1831%6%-25 pts
40 to 60¢1149%67%+17 pts
60 to 80¢3069%96%+27 pts
Over 80¢1491%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $62148%-$19
$6 to $892055%-$58
$94 to $3872053%+$702
$468 to $2.2K2091%+$2.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer7059%+$3.5K
Parlays950%-$215
Baseball250%-$53
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied constitutional.tarsier
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1088
Profit
on $6400 staked
36-28
Record
56% win rate
-17%
Return
7 still open
+$621-$1.1K
Jul 6Oct 5
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
272% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $2.8K lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 52¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 18
- Deepest drawdown
- 21 trades
By category
sports62 settled-18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
5 open positions worth $5.2K
The markets constitutional.tarsier is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
USA wins
Oct 6
Russia wins by more than 3.5 goals?
Oct 6, 15 fills
yes Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes England wins by more than 1.5 goals
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KUSA wins$1.3K on Yes at 55¢, Oct 6
- 2+$588Spain wins$481 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 26
- 3+$485Brazil vs Norway: To Advance$239 on Yes at 33¢, Jul 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Norway vs England: To Advance78¢350%+$1
England vs Argentina: To Advance95¢1+$0
Costa Rica wins92¢1100%+$182
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?94¢2100%+$136
Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance88¢3+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$199
Jul 2026+$816
Aug 2026-$53
Sep 2026+$796
Oct 2026+$1.5K
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