da.activist21
-$22.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,258
- First Seen
- Apr 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 7, 2026
- Followers
- 37
- Best In Baseball
- 50% won · 367 settled · +$8.8K
da.activist21 is a Kalshi trader with 1,258 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 366 wins and 398 losses on settled markets, -$22.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Milwaukee wins on Oct 7.
- Win rate
- 48%
- Return on settled
- -8%
- Money traded
- $436.2K
- Typical trade
- $74
- Avg entry
- 47¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,352
Profit over time
+$4.2K-$24.9K
Apr 22Oct 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1066%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢6333%31%-2 pts
40 to 60¢67651%51%+0 pts
60 to 80¢22667%40%-28 pts
Over 80¢18688%75%-13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1331546%-$146
$13 to $7431451%+$111
$75 to $50031445%-$8.0K
$500 to $4.9K31449%-$15.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball60950%+$7.7K
Soccer16843%-$3.7K
NFL14875%-$10.8K
Hockey11225%-$9.0K
Parlays3810%-$6.2K
NBA5869%+$1.1K
Side taken
Yes 40%60% No
If you had copied da.activist21
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1269
Profit
on $36900 staked
199-170
Record
54% win rate
+3%
Return
53 still open
+$1.9K-$3.6K
Jul 6Oct 5
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
148% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$18.3K won vs $17.0K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 23
- Deepest drawdown
- 45 trades
By category
other303 settled+13%
sports57 settled-37%
culture9 settled-56%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $1.7K
The markets da.activist21 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Milwaukee wins
Oct 7
Over 8.5 runs scored
Oct 7
Over 6.5 runs scored
Oct 7, 8 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.3KKXNCAAFSPREAD-26SEP26GTSTAN-STAN5$3.5K on Yes at 51¢, Sep 27
- 2+$3.2KKXMLBTOTAL-26SEP252215LADSF-5$3.0K on No at 48¢, Sep 26
- 3+$3.0KLos Angeles D wins$3.7K on Yes at 55¢, Sep 23
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Egypt wins by more than 1.5 goals?66¢160%-$4.4K
KXNHLGAME-26JUN09CARVGK-VGK49¢240%-$3.8K
Portugal wins by more than 4.5 goals?60¢110%-$3.9K
KXMLBGAME-26MAY301610MIANYM-MIA40¢80%-$3.4K
Mexico vs England: To Advance43¢70%-$3.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 10Oct 7
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$99
May 2026-$10.9K
Jun 2026-$12.9K
Jul 2026-$1.0K
Aug 2026+$11.1K
Sep 2026-$9.7K
Oct 2026-$80
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