rivomarkets
Kalshi

dawgpicks

-$147
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
May 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Followers
1
Best In NFL
51% won · 39 settled · +$994

dawgpicks is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 98 wins and 226 losses on settled markets, -$147 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille on Sep 30.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$52.0K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
16¢
Kalshi rank
#3,524

Profit over time

+$387-$2.5K
Aug 9Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢26810%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢29029%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢21149%52%+3 pts
60 to 80¢9870%13%-57 pts
Over 80¢13487%75%-12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625116%-$51
$6 to $1925023%-$187
$19 to $4325042%+$435
$43 to $1.3K25038%-$343

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays31925%+$215
College football15422%-$430
Tennis13129%-$541
NFL6851%+$994
Bitcoin7947%-$185
Baseball8311%-$434

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied dawgpicks

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$5169
Profit
on $32400 staked
98-226
Record
30% win rate
-16%
Return
317 still open
Profit over time324 settled trades
+$324-$6.9K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$8.5K
Max drawdown
1534% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.77×
Profit factor
$17.4K won vs $22.6K lost
-7.1 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
31
Deepest drawdown
202 trades

By category

crypto34 settled-5%
finance14 settled-10%
sports276 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

189 open positions worth $8.5K

The markets dawgpicks is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dawgpicks is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 30
Sold Nosold 84¢$851Exited
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 30
Sold Nosold 94¢$1.3KExited
yes Philadelphia,yes Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+
Sep 30
Yes36¢$369-$369
See every position across 332 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes New York Y,yes San Diego
    $467 on Yes at 30¢, Sep 29
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    CHI Bears wins by over 9.5 points?
    $734 on Yes at 47¢, Sep 29
    +$826
  3. 3
    yes Philadelphia,yes Edmundo Sosa: 1+,yes J.T. Realmuto: 1+
    $242 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 30
    +$775
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored5+$0
CHI Bears wins by over 9.5 points?47¢14100%+$826
yes Carolina,yes Cincinnati,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia10¢2+$0
yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Green Bay,yes Las Vegas,yes Detroit,yes New York J,yes Philadelphia,yes Denver1¢2+$0
Parlay: Nick Gonzales: 1+ + California1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$577
Sep 2026+$430

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