humbletrader
+$58
- Tracked Trades
- 1,036
- First Seen
- Aug 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 7
- Best In Weather
- 59% won · 269 settled · +$38
humbletrader is a Kalshi trader with 1,036 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 203 wins and 145 losses on settled markets, $58 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Sep 29, 2026? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 58%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $7.4K
- Typical trade
- $2
- Avg entry
- 67¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,423
Profit over time
+$117-$15
Aug 18Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2328%3%-5 pts
20 to 40¢15228%15%-13 pts
40 to 60¢16050%70%+20 pts
60 to 80¢20471%77%+6 pts
Over 80¢28891%97%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125918%-$5
$1 to $225960%-$14
$2 to $625984%+$29
$6 to $7425981%+$48
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Weather69659%+$38
Entertainment26265%+$22
Economic data2950%-$6
Motorsport2025%+$2
US elections2529%+$0
MMA2100%+$1
Side taken
Yes 52%48% No
If you had copied humbletrader
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5368
Profit
on $34800 staked
203-145
Record
58% win rate
-15%
Return
102 still open
+$0-$5.4K
Aug 17Sep 28
-$6.2K
Max drawdown
748% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.63×
Profit factor
$9.1K won vs $14.5K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 56¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 18
- Deepest drawdown
- 265 trades
By category
sports8 settled-2%
culture322 settled-15%
other16 settled-27%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
28 open positions worth $566
The markets humbletrader is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Sep 29, 2026?
Sep 29, 12 fills
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Sep 29, 2026?
Sep 29, 4 fills
Will the maximum temperature be <80° on Sep 29, 2026?
Sep 29, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$77Will Drew Campbell finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?$59 on No at 43¢, Sep 28
- 2+$64Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Sep 26, 2026?$184 on No at 74¢, Sep 26
- 3+$53Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Sep 28, 2026?$211 on No at 80¢, Sep 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Sep 28, 2026?94¢2464%+$4
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Sep 28, 2026?94¢11100%+$14
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Sep 28, 2026?89¢2525%-$64
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Sep 28, 2026?87¢1691%+$34
Will Drew Campbell finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?95¢70%-$32
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$3
Sep 2026+$55
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