rivomarkets
Kalshi

hurt.dragonfly

+$1.9K
Tracked Trades
757
First Seen
Jul 2, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 6, 2026
Followers
1
Best In Tennis
45% won · 11 settled · +$133

hurt.dragonfly is a Kalshi trader with 757 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 25 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 6.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
+207%
Money traded
$43.6K
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
10¢
Kalshi rank
#2,627

Profit over time

+$1.9K-$173
Jul 2Oct 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1749%13%+3 pts
20 to 40¢15629%50%+21 pts
40 to 60¢16948%53%+4 pts
60 to 80¢13668%
Over 80¢12287%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $419029%-$6
$4 to $1518933%-$18
$15 to $4818940%+$1.9K
$48 to $2.5K18950%+$0

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis48945%+$133
Parlays4922%+$1.7K
Bitcoin8641%+$46
Solana31+$0
XRP26+$0
Ethereum43+$0

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied hurt.dragonfly

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6860
Profit
on $3700 staked
14-23
Record
38% win rate
+185%
Return
43 still open
Profit over time37 settled trades
+$6.9K-$269
Aug 31Oct 5
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
208% below peak
6.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.98×
Profit factor
$9.2K won vs $2.3K lost
+11.2 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 27¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

sports20 settled+346%
crypto17 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

21 open positions worth $722

The markets hurt.dragonfly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what hurt.dragonfly is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 6
Sold Nosold 94¢$1.2KExited
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 5
Sold Nosold 89¢$1.4KExited
yes Atlanta,yes Chuba Hubbard,yes Carolina,no Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+
Oct 5
Yes2¢$23+$1.5K
See every position across 104 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Atlanta,yes Chuba Hubbard,yes Carolina,no Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+
    $23 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 5
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    yes Max Dahlin,yes LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA,yes King Onyx Umuhoza,yes Ornela Luisana Mondati,yes Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
    $47 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 4
    +$433
  3. 3
    Anna Ozerova wins
    $159 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 4
    +$172
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Joshua Charlton win the Nasridinov vs Charlton: M15 Wuning Round of 16 match?51¢28+$0
Will Amirkhamza Nasridinov win the Nasridinov vs Charlton: M15 Wuning Round of 16 match?44¢19+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
yes Dallas,yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Denver,yes Minnesota,yes New York G1¢2+$0
Will Hao Sheng Koay win the Koay vs Roh: M15 Wuning Round of 16 match?22¢44+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 9Oct 6

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$160
Sep 2026+$145
Oct 2026+$1.9K

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