rivomarkets

marcellDario254

marcelldario254

+$593
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jun 11, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 3, 2026
Followers
5
Best In Parlays
13% won · 23 settled · +$568

marcellDario254 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $593 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay,yes Milwaukee,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes Cleveland,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y on Oct 3.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$66.1K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
29¢
Kalshi rank
#3,092

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$403
Jun 11Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1187%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢13830%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢29651%51%+0 pts
60 to 80¢36968%80%+12 pts
Over 80¢7689%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625055%-$2
$6 to $1924951%-$75
$19 to $6724956%+$94
$67 to $6.6K24941%+$624

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer26274%+$400
Parlays15513%+$568
Baseball14250%-$29
Esports2440%-$96
NBA26+$0
WNBA3389%+$90

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied marcellDario254

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$105
Profit
on $10700 staked
56-51
Record
52% win rate
-1%
Return
436 still open
Profit over time107 settled trades
+$496-$833
Jul 6Sep 28
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
171% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $5.1K lost
+3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
29 trades

By category

culture6 settled+56%
sports100 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

174 open positions worth $20.0K

The markets marcellDario254 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what marcellDario254 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay,yes Milwaukee,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes Cleveland,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y
Oct 3
Yes0¢$1-$1
yes Golden State,yes Over 156.5 points
Oct 3
Sold Nosold 85¢$57Exited
yes Golden State,yes Over 156.5 points
Oct 3
Yes36¢$24-$24
See every position across 394 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    no Over 4.5 runs,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,no Over 0.5 runs
    $94 on Yes at 7¢, Sep 29
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    Over 8.5 runs scored
    $485 on Yes at 56¢, Sep 17
    +$381
  3. 3
    Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
    $486 on Yes at 60¢, Sep 16
    +$324
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Portugal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?12¢5+$0
Will both teams score?53¢116100%+$413
Will Dragon Ranger Gaming win the TEC Esports vs. Dragon Ranger Gaming Valorant match?71¢73+$0
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?56¢27100%+$84
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Norway,yes Portugal,yes Over 2.5 goals scored3¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 6Oct 3

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$57
Jul 2026-$28
Aug 2026+$57
Sep 2026+$789
Oct 2026-$120

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