rivomarkets

mikewatson83

+$698
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 6, 2026
Followers
1
Best In Bitcoin
11% won · 463 settled · +$988

mikewatson83 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 51 wins and 475 losses on settled markets, $698 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 6.

Win rate
10%
Return on settled
+32%
Money traded
$24.2K
Typical trade
$4
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#3,436

Profit over time

+$836-$23
Sep 12Oct 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7845%8%+3 pts
20 to 40¢5227%20%-8 pts
40 to 60¢1749%38%-12 pts
60 to 80¢4373%
Over 80¢10490%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12505%-$11
$1 to $42508%+$130
$4 to $925013%+$475
$9 to $3.8K25016%+$105

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin80511%+$988
Parlays545%-$124
College football80%-$38
NFL620%-$53
Stocks and indices250%-$28
Commodities460%-$47

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied mikewatson83

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$17214
Profit
on $52600 staked
51-475
Record
10% win rate
+33%
Return
319 still open
Profit over time526 settled trades
+$17.2K+$0
Sep 7Oct 5
-$24.9K
Max drawdown
91% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.36×
Profit factor
$64.7K won vs $47.5K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 8¢ avg
Longest losing streak
214
Deepest drawdown
357 trades

By category

crypto463 settled+50%
sports40 settled-95%
finance23 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

95 open positions worth $1.5K

The markets mikewatson83 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mikewatson83 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Oct 6
Sold Nosold 92¢$1.4KExited
yes Austin Hooper: 1+,yes Brian Robinson: 2+,yes Juwan Johnson: 1+
Oct 6, 2 fills
Yes0¢$10-$10
yes Austin Hooper: 4+,yes Bijan Robinson: 5+,yes Drake London: 8+,yes Alvin Kamara: 3+,yes Devaughn Vele: 5+
Oct 6
Yes0¢$14-$14
See every position across 256 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $50 on No at 7¢, Oct 5
    +$698
  2. 2
    Bitcoin price on Sep 28, 2026?
    $19 on No at 5¢, Sep 28
    +$333
  3. 3
    Bitcoin price on Sep 28, 2026?
    $19 on Yes at 5¢, Sep 28
    +$327
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?7¢16018%+$292
yes Deshaun Watson: 225+,yes Jerry Jeudy: 40+,yes DK Metcalf: 50+,yes Darnell Washington: 25+,yes Roman Wilson: 40+0¢2+$0
Bitcoin price on Sep 30, 2026?3¢690%-$52
Bitcoin price on Oct 4, 2026?4¢1390%-$317
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 9Oct 6

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$497
Oct 2026+$201

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