rivomarkets

Misterdae

misterdae

+$915
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Jul 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 3, 2026
Followers
20
Best In NFL
59% won · 27 settled · +$1.0K

Misterdae is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 179 wins and 403 losses on settled markets, $915 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Matteo Arnaldi wins on Oct 3.

Win rate
31%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$38.0K
Typical trade
$7
Avg entry
28¢
Kalshi rank
#3,171

Profit over time

+$3.4K-$230
Jul 13Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢29810%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢37430%35%+5 pts
40 to 60¢23147%41%-6 pts
60 to 80¢5767%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢4196%100%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125128%-$14
$1 to $725019%-$203
$7 to $2425031%+$65
$24 to $2.2K25044%+$1.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis83028%-$1.4K
Soccer200%-$77
NFL3159%+$1.0K
Baseball6744%+$575
College football2046%+$763
Parlays13+$0

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied Misterdae

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$5506
Profit
on $58200 staked
179-403
Record
31% win rate
-9%
Return
281 still open
Profit over time582 settled trades
+$0-$5.5K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$11.4K
Max drawdown
557% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$34.8K won vs $40.3K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
46
Deepest drawdown
176 trades

By category

sports581 settled-9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

70 open positions worth $5.8K

The markets Misterdae is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Misterdae is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Matteo Arnaldi wins
Oct 3
Sold Nosold 85¢$1.2KExited
Coco Gauff wins
Oct 3
Yes89¢$518+$64
Camila Osorio wins
Oct 3
Sold Nosold 67¢$1.6KExited
See every position across 176 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Oleg Kolninov wins
    $475 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 14
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins?
    $1.5K on Yes at 58¢, Sep 15
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    Oklahoma St. wins
    $565 on Yes at 37¢, Sep 12
    +$942
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?36¢11+$0
Camila Osorio wins22¢40%-$522
Matteo Arnaldi wins15¢1592%+$634
Alex Michelsen wins23¢80%-$370
Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins?58¢3100%+$1.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 6Oct 3

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$116
Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026-$877

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