rivomarkets

onehappy.camper

-$19.9K
Tracked Trades
999
First Seen
Jan 31, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026
Followers
6
Best In NBA
23% won · 22 settled · +$8.0K

onehappy.camper is a Kalshi trader with 999 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 120 losses on settled markets, -$19.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards on Sep 21.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
-26%
Money traded
$744.1K
Typical trade
$18
Avg entry
15¢
Kalshi rank
#5,225

Profit over time

+$5.1K-$25.0K
Feb 1Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3747%4%-4 pts
20 to 40¢13228%11%-18 pts
40 to 60¢18651%59%+8 pts
60 to 80¢13666%53%-13 pts
Over 80¢17189%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $325033%-$5
$3 to $1825031%-$143
$18 to $10025031%-$1.7K
$100 to $99K24934%-$18.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates3091%-$34.8K
Companies5596%+$6.7K
NBA7523%+$8.0K
Entertainment44228%-$1.4K
Economic data40+$0
NFL3182%-$179

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied onehappy.camper

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$523
Profit
on $2500 staked
16-9
Record
64% win rate
+21%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time25 settled trades
+$523-$466
Jul 6Sep 14
-$600
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.58×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $900 lost
+12.6 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
6 trades

By category

sports24 settled+20%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $97

The markets onehappy.camper is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what onehappy.camper is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards
Sep 21
Sold Nosold 1¢$2Exited
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?
Sep 21
Sold Nosold 53¢$102Exited
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?
Sep 21, 4 fills
Sold Nosold 55¢$439Exited
See every position across 69 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
    $700 on Yes at 7¢, Feb 10
    +$9.3K
  2. 2
    Will DoorDash run an ad during the Big Game 2026?
    $34.5K on No at 84¢, Feb 8
    +$6.8K
  3. 3
    Marlon Vera wins
    $956 on Yes at 35¢, Sep 19
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their March 2026 meeting?2¢56+$0
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their March 2026 meeting?17¢1000%-$35.0K
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2026 meeting?16¢44+$0
Will DoorDash run an ad during the Big Game 2026?84¢29100%+$6.8K
Will APT. win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the Grammys?49¢194+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$21.6K
Jun 2026+$41
Jul 2026+$106
Sep 2026+$1.5K

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