pad.pill
-$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,800
- First Seen
- May 31, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 8, 2026
pad.pill is a Kalshi trader with 2,800 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 353 wins and 1,092 losses on settled markets, -$1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: I Wen Wan wins on Oct 8.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $260.6K
- Typical trade
- $22
- Avg entry
- 23¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,202
Profit over time
+$7.1K-$6.9K
May 31Oct 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢81612%11%-1 pts
20 to 40¢104928%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢28246%46%+0 pts
60 to 80¢14072%88%+16 pts
Over 80¢48893%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $669423%-$158
$7 to $2269422%-$121
$22 to $7269426%+$586
$73 to $4.1K69330%-$1.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis277525%-$1.1K
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied pad.pill
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$4516
Profit
on $126200 staked
323-939
Record
26% win rate
-4%
Return
107 still open
+$11.8K-$18.1K
Sep 14Oct 5
-$36.3K
Max drawdown
221% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$89.4K won vs $93.9K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 94
- Deepest drawdown
- 793 trades
By category
other598 settled+16%
sports663 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
6 open positions worth $1.2K
The markets pad.pill is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
I Wen Wan wins
Oct 8, 3 fills
I Wen Wan wins
Oct 8, 7 fills
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato wins
Oct 7
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3KAnastasia Abbagnato wins$581 on Yes at 20¢, Oct 7
- 2+$2.3KPaola Lopez wins$389 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 26
- 3+$1.9KAnna Burchak wins$234 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Kate Fakih wins13¢2843%+$190
Kayla Day wins5¢110%-$305
Ella McDonald wins16¢320%-$542
Ava Beck wins14¢350%-$483
Sakura Hosogi wins17¢200%-$599
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 11Oct 8
Profit by month
May 2026+$765
Jun 2026-$3.7K
Sep 2026+$2.2K
Oct 2026-$378
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies pad.pill.
Bring pad.pill into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.