paint.doll
+$618
- Tracked Trades
- 992
- First Seen
- Jul 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 30, 2026
- Followers
- 5
- Best In Soccer
- 57% won · 124 settled · +$822
paint.doll is a Kalshi trader with 992 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 188 wins and 179 losses on settled markets, $618 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Houston wins on Sep 30.
- Win rate
- 51%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $88.5K
- Typical trade
- $34
- Avg entry
- 47¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,840
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$3.0K
Jul 8Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1968%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢12031%31%+0 pts
40 to 60¢54549%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢7069%95%+26 pts
Over 80¢6089%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $924854%+$71
$9 to $3424857%+$286
$34 to $9824853%+$1.2K
$98 to $1.4K24746%-$927
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball69650%-$295
Soccer17557%+$822
NFL3429%+$91
Parlays86+$0
Side taken
Yes 62%38% No
If you had copied paint.doll
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4025
Profit
on $36700 staked
188-179
Record
51% win rate
+11%
Return
306 still open
+$4.3K-$1.5K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$2.9K
Max drawdown
58% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$21.9K won vs $17.9K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 91 trades
By category
sports358 settled+11%
other9 settled+0%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
218 open positions worth $20.9K
The markets paint.doll is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Houston wins
Sep 30
KXMLBGAME-26SEP302000BOSNYY-NYY
Sep 30
Philadelphia wins
Sep 30, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9KKXMLBGAME-26AUG311805SFATL-SF$1.0K on Yes at 35¢, Aug 31
- 2+$840KXMLBGAME-26SEP302000BOSNYY-NYY$1.1K on Yes at 56¢, Sep 30
- 3+$799Boston wins$938 on Yes at 54¢, Sep 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?57¢2464%-$1.9K
Houston wins59¢625%-$1.3K
Boston wins45¢2280%+$999
Los Angeles D wins59¢740%+$460
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?53¢12100%+$139
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 3Sep 30
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$734
Aug 2026+$1.4K
Sep 2026+$0
Similar Kalshi traders
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