paint.sky
+$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,002
- First Seen
- Apr 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Followers
- 10
- Best In Baseball
- 43% won · 82 settled · +$3.2K
paint.sky is a Kalshi trader with 1,002 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 124 wins and 293 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Sonay Kartal wins on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 30%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $188.1K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,839
Profit over time
+$5.2K-$3.1K
Apr 29Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢25210%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢26031%17%-14 pts
40 to 60¢36249%44%-6 pts
60 to 80¢6368%68%+0 pts
Over 80¢6592%0%-92 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $825116%-$107
$8 to $4825134%+$1
$48 to $15825035%-$1.4K
$164 to $12K25040%+$2.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays21025%-$1.3K
Baseball32143%+$3.2K
Tennis26129%+$566
College football2225%-$2.4K
Soccer5120%+$354
Bitcoin11120%-$696
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied paint.sky
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$6930
Profit
on $35900 staked
102-257
Record
28% win rate
-19%
Return
244 still open
+$0-$6.9K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$9.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.73×
Profit factor
$18.8K won vs $25.7K lost
-7.2 pts
Edge vs implied
28% won at 36¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 59
- Deepest drawdown
- 287 trades
By category
sports299 settled-14%
crypto60 settled-45%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
182 open positions worth $46.4K
The markets paint.sky is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Sonay Kartal wins
Oct 5
Parlay: Los Angeles D + Carolina
Oct 5
Arizona St. wins
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3Kyes Los Angeles D,yes Milwaukee,yes Alabama,yes Tennessee,yes Wisconsin,yes Notre Dame,yes Houston,yes USC$235 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 3
- 2+$2.1KToronto wins$1.9K on Yes at 48¢, Sep 16
- 3+$1.6KDallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins?$999 on Yes at 39¢, Sep 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Atlanta,yes Colorado,yes Seattle,yes Arizona11¢2+$0
yes Alabama,yes BYU,yes Texas19¢2+$0
Los Angeles D wins56¢850%+$1.3K
yes Los Angeles C,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Cincinnati19¢2+$0
yes Milwaukee,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D29¢20%-$953
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$18
May 2026+$575
Jun 2026-$926
Jul 2026-$788
Aug 2026+$640
Sep 2026-$829
Oct 2026+$2.5K
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