papamachuca
-$1.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 36
- First Seen
- Jul 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 1
papamachuca is a Kalshi trader with 36 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, -$1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago wins on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- -61%
- Money traded
- $3.8K
- Typical trade
- $35
- Avg entry
- 51¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,040
Profit over time
+$306-$1.1K
Sep 27Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12%0%-2 pts
20 to 40¢125%
40 to 60¢1744%20%-24 pts
60 to 80¢1566%0%-66 pts
Over 80¢290%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $790%-$1
$10 to $349+$0
$37 to $9890%-$194
$108 to $1.1K933%-$850
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL829%-$803
Tennis22+$0
Parlays20%-$241
Soccer3+$0
Bitcoin10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 97%3% No
If you had copied papamachuca
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$567
Profit
on $900 staked
2-7
Record
22% win rate
-63%
Return
26 still open
+$122-$567
Jul 13Sep 28
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.
By category
other9 settled-63%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
7 open positions worth $995
The markets papamachuca is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Chicago wins
Sep 29
Philadelphia wins
Sep 29
Philadelphia wins
Sep 29, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$306Las Vegas wins$250 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 27
- 2+$12Chicago wins$108 on Yes at 90¢, Sep 29
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Philadelphia wins49¢30%-$580
Los Angeles R wins62¢30%-$541
Will Madison Schwarz win the Schwarz vs Baker: W15 Brisbane Round of 16 match?45¢14+$0
Las Vegas wins45¢1100%+$306
yes Philadelphia,yes Philadelphia46¢10%-$241
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$1.0K
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