probable.squid0221
+$2.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 232
- First Seen
- Jul 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Followers
- 3
- Best In Parlays
- 8% won · 39 settled · +$2.1K
probable.squid0221 is a Kalshi trader with 232 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Central Michigan,yes Grambling St.,yes Tennessee,yes UNLV,yes The Citadel,yes San Diego,yes University at Albany,yes Eastern Michigan,yes Missouri,yes Holy Cross,yes Howard,yes South Dakota,yes NC St.,yes Mercer,yes James Madison,yes Marist,yes North Dakota,yes Austin Peay,yes Robert Morris,yes Georgia St.,yes Ohio St.,yes Dartmouth,yes Prairie View A&M,yes UAB,yes Sacred Heart,yes Monmouth,yes Florida Atlantic,yes South Carolina,yes Montana,yes New Mexico,yes Florida St.,yes Valparaiso,yes Wofford,yes North Dakota St. on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 8%
- Return on settled
- +184%
- Money traded
- $85.4K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,241
Profit over time
+$2.2K-$198
Sep 25Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1345%8%+3 pts
20 to 40¢1727%
40 to 60¢850%0%-50 pts
60 to 80¢1070%
Over 80¢6395%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $14580%-$176
$14 to $48580%-$192
$48 to $2725830%+$2.5K
$283 to $9.1K58+$0
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2328%+$2.1K
Side taken
Yes 67%33% No
If you had copied probable.squid0221
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$344
Profit
on $3900 staked
3-36
Record
8% win rate
-9%
Return
115 still open
+$0-$400
Jul 6Sep 28
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
345% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.90×
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $3.6K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 4¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 18
- Deepest drawdown
- 18 trades
By category
sports36 settled-1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
115 open positions worth $4.8K
The markets probable.squid0221 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Central Michigan,yes Grambling St.,yes Tennessee,yes UNLV,yes The Citadel,yes San Diego,yes University at Albany,yes Eastern Michigan,yes Missouri,yes Holy Cross,yes Howard,yes South Dakota,yes NC St.,yes Mercer,yes James Madison,yes Marist,yes North Dakota,yes Austin Peay,yes Robert Morris,yes Georgia St.,yes Ohio St.,yes Dartmouth,yes Prairie View A&M,yes UAB,yes Sacred Heart,yes Monmouth,yes Florida Atlantic,yes South Carolina,yes Montana,yes New Mexico,yes Florida St.,yes Valparaiso,yes Wofford,yes North Dakota St.
Oct 3
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 3
yes British Columbia Lions,yes Montreal Alouettes,yes Alabama,yes SMU,yes Cornell,yes Lehigh,yes Memphis,yes LIU,yes Michigan,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas,yes Air Force,yes Notre Dame,yes Princeton,yes Wake Forest,yes Syracuse,yes Presbyterian,yes Georgia,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes Iowa St.
Oct 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2Kyes Jaume Munar,yes Nino Ehrenschneider,yes Ryuki Matsuda,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Max Purcell,yes North Texas,yes New Mexico St.,yes Cleveland,yes Las Vegas,yes Emerson Jones,yes Viktorija Golubic,yes Mirra Andreeva$108 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 2
- 2+$1.1Kyes Alabama,yes Texas A&M,yes Tennessee,yes Indiana,yes LSU,yes Nebraska,yes Memphis,yes Wisconsin,yes Ohio St.,yes Princeton,yes Texas Tech,yes Boise St.,yes Georgia,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes USC$94 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 3
- 3+$742yes Atlanta,yes North Texas,yes New Mexico St.,yes Cleveland,yes Las Vegas$75 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Tulsa,yes New Mexico St.,yes Liberty,yes Virginia Tech,yes Penn St.,yes Alabama,yes Texas A&M,yes Tennessee,yes UNLV,yes South Carolina St.,yes Cornell,yes Florida,yes Indiana,yes Stephen F. Austin,yes Louisville,yes LSU,yes Nebraska,yes Michigan,yes Yale,yes Wisconsin,yes Notre Dame,yes Lamar,yes Oregon St.,yes Ohio St.,yes Illinois,yes Prairie View A&M,yes Wake Forest,yes Toledo,yes Texas Tech,yes Houston,yes Boise St.,yes New Mexico,yes Georgia0¢2+$0
yes Karen Khachanov,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Valentin Vacherot,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Saint Vincent and the Grenadines,yes Yuquan Jin,yes Chan-Yeong Oh,yes Yuta Tomida,yes James Van Herzeele,yes Tahlia Kokkinis,yes Laquisa Khan,yes Yuhan Liu,yes Kanon Sawashiro,yes San Diego,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Emerson Jones,yes Sinja Kraus,yes Dayana Yastremska,yes Lilli Tagger,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Maria Timofeeva,yes Sinja Kraus,yes Dayana Yastremska,yes Elena-Gabriela Ruse,yes Anhelina Kalinina,yes Maria Timofeeva0¢2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points3+$0
yes Alabama,yes SMU,yes Rhode Island,yes Cornell,yes Dayton,yes Elon,yes Lehigh,yes Memphis,yes LIU,yes Michigan,yes Villanova,yes Yale,yes Marist,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas,yes Notre Dame,yes Dartmouth,yes Richmond,yes Wake Forest,yes Syracuse,yes Toledo,yes Monmouth,yes Houston,yes St. Thomas,yes Georgia,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes Western Michigan,yes Iowa St.0¢20%-$9
yes Hamilton Tiger-Cats,yes Liberty,yes Montana St.,yes Northwestern,yes Alabama,yes SMU,yes Cornell,yes Elon,yes Lehigh,yes Memphis,yes LIU,yes Michigan,yes Villanova,yes Yale,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas,yes Notre Dame,yes Wake Forest,yes Syracuse,yes Houston,yes St. Thomas,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes Dallas1¢20%-$54
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$112
Oct 2026+$2.3K
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