rivomarkets
Kalshi

scattered.firefly6085

+$460
Tracked Trades
998
First Seen
Aug 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 3, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
45% won · 530 settled · +$681

scattered.firefly6085 is a Kalshi trader with 998 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 250 wins and 317 losses on settled markets, $460 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Calgary Stampeders,yes Montana St. wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 70.5 points on Oct 3.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$14.0K
Typical trade
$3
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#3,271

Profit over time

+$1.5K+$0
Aug 30Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3466%12%+6 pts
20 to 40¢16630%39%+9 pts
40 to 60¢19749%42%-7 pts
60 to 80¢8870%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢19292%95%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $024842%+$12
$0 to $324744%+$95
$3 to $1024748%+$569
$10 to $75924742%-$141

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin84245%+$681
Parlays890%-$187
Commodities3469%+$61
Solana871%-$16
Other crypto4+$0
Ethereum3+$0

Side taken

Yes 54%46% No

If you had copied scattered.firefly6085

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$16560
Profit
on $56300 staked
250-313
Record
44% win rate
+29%
Return
85 still open
Profit over time563 settled trades
+$16.6K+$0
Aug 24Sep 28
-$10.6K
Max drawdown
66% below peak
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.53×
Profit factor
$47.9K won vs $31.3K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 41¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
246 trades

By category

finance13 settled+73%
crypto537 settled+31%
sports12 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

77 open positions worth $1.6K

The markets scattered.firefly6085 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what scattered.firefly6085 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Calgary Stampeders,yes Montana St. wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 70.5 points
Oct 3
Yes39¢$32-$32
yes Montana St.,yes Pittsburgh,yes Northwestern wins by over 14.5 points,yes Over 33.5 points scored
Oct 3
Sold Nosold 18¢$25Exited
yes Montana St.,yes Pittsburgh,yes Northwestern wins by over 14.5 points,yes Over 33.5 points scored
Oct 3
Yes14¢$19-$19
See every position across 213 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $303 on No at 17¢, Sep 1
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $57 on Yes at 27¢, Sep 18
    +$156
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $38 on No at 29¢, Sep 8
    +$96
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?5¢82445%+$718
yes Matthew Stafford: 250+,no Darnell Mooney: 70+,yes Blake Corum: 40+,no Kyren Williams: 100+,no Devin Singletary: 50+,yes Davante Adams: 3+14¢2+$0
yes Japan,yes Palestine,yes Brazil,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored1¢2+$0
yes SMU,no SMU wins by over 3.5 points,no Over 47.5 points scored8¢2+$0
yes Buffalo wins 1Q by over 2.5 points,yes Buffalo,yes Josh Allen: 2+,yes Jared Goff: 1+,no Jared Goff: 375+,no Josh Allen: 90+,yes James Cook III: 40+,no Jahmyr Gibbs: 190+,yes Josh Allen: 2+3¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 6Oct 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$43
Sep 2026+$623
Oct 2026-$132

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